Economists offer a variety of overlapping explanations for why tariffs, once imposed, have a propensity to outlive the political circumstances that brought them about. Often, that happens because domestic constituencies that benefit from tariffs will fight to keep them around.
President Joe Biden, for example, left most of Trump’s first-term tariffs on Chinese goods in place, despite having said on the campaign trail in 2019 that even a freshman economics student would know they were harming the economy. Removing the tariffs risked angering unions and blue-collar workers that Biden and Democrats hoped to win back from Trump’s coalition.
In theory, the sweeping tariffs Trump has imposed this year should be easier to dislodge. They’re so broad that they create fewer industry-specific beneficiaries to lobby for their continuation, and they could be canceled with an executive order rather than requiring an act of Congress. The fact that the public “is very aware of the new tariffs and so far has taken a pretty strong negative view of them” could give a future Democratic president or congressional majority the necessary push to scrap them, Gresser added.