Drug pricing compromise will protect seniors

While the overarching Build Back Better package remains in limbo until Congress receives a score from the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), it appears that the Democrats have reached a deal on drug pricing. The compromise abandons H.R. 3’s more aggressive components and instead pulls from Senators Ron Wyden and Chuck Grassley’s drug pricing framework.

Democrats worked to thread the needle between progressives’ ambitions to protect seniors from high drug prices and moderates’ desires to protect the incentives to innovate new life savings therapies. They have moved away from initial plans to export drug pricing decisions to other countries — setting a formula based on what other countries had decided drugs are worth. This could have been easily gamed by drug makers but also would have left price decisions up to foreign policymakers instead of making the hard decisions at home.

Instead, the new drug pricing deal would:

      • Cap seniors’ out-of-pocket costs at $2,000 per year, spread across the year.
      • Cap insulin costs at $35 per month.
      • Allow Medicare to negotiate the cost for 10 of the most expensive drugs starting in 2025 increasing to 20 drugs per year by 2028.
      • Only allow Medicare to negotiate on drugs that have passed an initial market exclusivity period — 9 years for small molecule drugs and 12 years for biologics — addressing market failures when generics don’t create competition and drive down prices.
      • Use inflation caps in Medicare and the commercial market to limit drug price increases.
      • Subject insurance middlemen called, pharmacy benefit managers, to additional transparency requirements.
      • Change incentives for Part D insurers to negotiate drug prices more aggressively.

 

Because these policies will be phased in and are not as draconian as earlier proposals, they may not make a measurable difference to every consumer. But they will undoubtedly help the most vulnerable: seniors with exceptionally high-cost drugs. As PPI has explained in the past, capping out-of-pocket costs and spreading the costs across the year rather forcing seniors to pay huge deductibles up front will make it easier for vulnerable seniors to access lifesaving therapies. PPI has also pushed for reforming incentives for insurance middle-men but those provisions were watered down in the final agreement — instead policymakers settled for increased transparency requirements for pharmacy benefit managers.

This year, the whole world was reminded of the promise of pharmaceutical innovation. Because of the incentives in the U.S. market, Americans had widespread access to COVID-19 vaccines before much of the world. The United States rewards innovation and though the U.S. health care system is worse off on many health are metrics, it out performs other high-income counties on cancer care because of widespread access to new therapies.

Democrats worked together to form a package that preserves incentives to innovate while protecting seniors. We are hopeful that the CBO will provide realistic estimates of the impact the compromise deal that Democrats have coalesced around.

American Innovation Under Threat

Restrictive Legislation and Global Competition
SUMMARY

A package of antitrust legislation recently introduced in Congress aims to improve competition in the U.S. technology sector. The proposed provisions in these bills would limit digital platforms’ ability to integrate product features, promote new products, or even compete in new market segments.

We conclude that such restrictions will harm U.S. scientific and technological leadership, hurting U.S. competitiveness and living standards.

Antitrust regulations that reduces commercial scale and product scope weaken incentives for corporate research and undermine the ability to innovate.

We highlight how these limitations may affect American scientific and technological leadership in the world. We also consider the role of information technology firms in advancing U.S. technology, the foreign competition they face, and the fragile nature of the U.S. innovation ecosystem.

You can download and view the entire slide deck by visiting the Innovation Frontier Project’s website.

American Innovation is Under Attack and America is Losing Ground in Research and Development, according to new Innovation Frontier Project Research

Today, the Innovation Frontier Project (IFP), a project of the Progressive Policy Institute, released a comprehensive research deck on the threats facing American innovation. The authors of the deck, innovation experts Ashish Arora and Sharon Belenzon of Duke University, found the United States has lost a substantial amount of corporate research since the 1980s, with only a handful of present-day U.S.-based companies investing in research at a meaningful level.

This deck also lays out clear political implications for lawmakers. The Biden Administration’s top strategic economic priorities are based on a foundation of strong U.S. competitiveness and innovation, yet Congress’s percolating anti-tech antitrust legislation would undermine these priorities by impairing the ability of America’s few leading R&D performers to develop new products and enter new markets. The restrictions on these companies will reduce our national investment in R&D and hurt American economic prosperity and national security.

“America’s technological leadership is being challenged, and if we undermine our business research leaders we risk losing this fight with China. The Biden Administration has identified key priorities in emerging technologies, but Congress’s anti-tech antitrust legislation would hurt these priorities. Our policymakers need to get smart about the steps needed to regain our footing as a technological leader,” said Dr. Michael Mandel, Chief Economist for the Progressive Policy Institute.

The deck findings issue a stark warning:

    •  America’s technological leadership is under challenge.
    •  The United States has lost a substantial amount of corporate research since the 1980s.
    •  Corporate research is the source of many breakthrough innovations.
    •  American leadership in emerging technologies depends on corporate research and only a few companies continue to invest in research at a meaningful level.
    •  The antitrust proposals will impair the ability of these few leading R&D performers to develop new products and enter new markets.
    •  The loss of tech companies with scale and scope would reduce U.S. investments in R&D and hurt American economic prosperity and security.

View the full 67-page deck here:

This deck was authored by Ashish Arora and Sharon Belenzon of Duke University. Mr. Arora is the Rex D. Adams Professor of Business Administration at the Duke Fuqua School of Business. He received his PhD in Economics from Stanford University in 1992, and was on the faculty at the Heinz School, Carnegie Mellon University, where he held the H. John Heinz Professorship, until 2009. Mr. Belenzon is a professor in the Strategy area at the Fuqua School of Business of Duke University and a Research Associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). His research investigates the role of business in advancing science and has been featured in top academic journals, such as Management Science, Strategic Management Journal and American Economic Review. Mr. Belenzon received his PhD from the London School of Economics and Political Science and completed post-doctorate work at the University of Oxford, Nuffield College.

Based in Washington, D.C., and housed in the Progressive Policy Institute, the Innovation Frontier Project explores the role of public policy in science, technology and innovation. The project is managed by Jack Karsten. Learn more about IFP by visiting innovationfrontier.org.

The Progressive Policy Institute (PPI) is a catalyst for policy innovation and political reform based in Washington, D.C. Its mission is to create radically pragmatic ideas for moving America beyond ideological and partisan deadlock. Learn more about PPI by visiting progressivepolicy.org.

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PPI’s Trade Fact of the Week: ‘Squid Game’ outdrew the World Series this year – Nov. 17, 2021

FACT:

“Squid Game” outdrew the World Series this year.

THE NUMBERS: 

111 million:  Squid Game viewers, September/October 2021
70 million:    World Series viewers, October/November 2021

WHAT THEY MEAN:

Korea-made drama Squid Game, which premiered Sept. 17 on Netflix, centers on a contest in which 456 impoverished and debt-ridden players compete for a ₩45.6 billion prize (~$38 million) in a series of children’s games. The losing players are ruthlessly executed. (Shot, stabbed, thrown off a bridge, etc.; more variety presumably in Season 2.) The show’s 9-episode Season 1 run logged over 111 million views, a count not only well above Netflix’s earlier 82-million-viewer record (the 2020 scheming-18th century-Brit-aristocrat series Bridgerton), but outpacing the Atlanta-v.-Houston World Series.  Americans weren’t alone in their enthusiasm: Squid Game was also Netflix’s top show in Denmark, Bolivia, Kuwait and Bahrain, India, Bulgaria, and 44 other countries.

Not a unique triumph for Korean arts, Squid Game is an especially visible example of the much larger “Hallyu Wave” phenomenon. Hallyu, translated as “Korean Wave,” is shorthand for the international appeal of South Korean pop culture, first in Japan, China, Taiwan, and Southeast Asia and more recently in the U.S., Europe, Latin America, and the Middle East.  At the cultural high end, last year’s Parasite — a satire on class disparity and wealth inequality, pitting scheming low-income moochers against a greedy and clueless rich family — was the first Asian and first non-English-language film to win a Best Picture Oscar.  At the somewhat less-high end, five of Billboard’s 10 non-English No. 1 albums since 1958 have come since 2018 from K-Pop boy-band groups BTS and SuperM. In between are clothing styles, video games, cosmetics, band and artist merchandise, and other cultural and lifestyle products.

Korean government economists calculate the value of Hallyu exports at $12 billion in 2020.  This would still be well below the $36 billion in exports from Korea’s mighty auto factories, but within sight and growing by 22 percent per year. More is presumably ahead; as one 2021 indicator, Netflix invested nearly $500 million in the Korean entertainment industry and opened two studio facilities in South Korea.

What explains Hallyu’s success?  Some analysis credits Korean government support and organization.  The Korea Herald, reporting on the creation of a “Hallyu Department” in the Ministry of Culture, Sports, and Tourism last year scoffs at this idea: “it is not the first time that the government is attempting to play a role in the promotion of the Korean wave, each time against resistance from the industry who feared government meddling in what is essentially a private sector initiative may have the opposite effect”.  Rather, the success of Korean culture looks organic, matching (a) appealing plotting, cliffhanger endings, and striking visuals with (b) new forms of access as widespread Internet use, secure financial services, and open data flow enable online streaming services such as Netflix and Hulu to compete to offer their subscribers an array of films, music, and TV, and (c) devoted and highly organized international fan bases using social media to evangelize and market to one another.

 

 

FURTHER READING

 

Read Squid Game ratings and rankings by country from Netflix, here.Read more background about Hallyu Wave, here.

Policy or not?

The Carnegie Endowment looks at Korean government support for cultural industry and Hallyu as soft-power policy, read more here.

The Korea Herald is skeptical, read more here.

The Korea Economic Institute sides with the Herald, viewing government promotion Hallyu as largely “mistargeted,” “ineffectual,” and annoying to fans, read more here.

Fans and artists

Time on U.S. K-pop fans as a 2020 political force, read here.

Navigating through K-pop fandom with fan clubs and fan cafes, read here.

For insight on Korean filmmaking and its international appeal, read here.

And for the Korean Cultural Center/DC’s October Hallyu & K-Pop demo, click here.

 

Special note: Research and drafting for this Trade Fact by Lisa Ly, Social Policy Intern for the Progressive Policy Institute. Lisa is currently a Master of Public Policy candidate at The George Washington University. 

 

 

ABOUT ED

Ed Gresser is Vice President and Director for Trade and Global Markets at PPI.

Ed returns to PPI after working for the think tank from 2001-2011. He most recently served as the Assistant U.S. Trade Representative for Trade Policy and Economics at the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR). In this position, he led USTR’s economic research unit from 2015-2021, and chaired the 21-agency Trade Policy Staff Committee.

Ed began his career on Capitol Hill before serving USTR as Policy Advisor to USTR Charlene Barshefsky from 1998 to 2001. He then led PPI’s Trade and Global Markets Project from 2001 to 2011. After PPI, he co-founded and directed the independent think tank ProgressiveEconomy until rejoining USTR in 2015. In 2013, the Washington International Trade Association presented him with its Lighthouse Award, awarded annually to an individual or group for significant contributions to trade policy.

Ed is the author of Freedom from Want: American Liberalism and the Global Economy (2007).  He has published in a variety of journals and newspapers, and his research has been cited by leading academics and international organizations including the WTO, World Bank, and International Monetary Fund. He is a graduate of Stanford University and holds a Master’s Degree in International Affairs from Columbia Universities and a certificate from the Averell Harriman Institute for Advanced Study of the Soviet Union.

Read the full email and sign up for the Trade Fact of the Week

Mortimer for Newsweek: The House’s SALT Cap Proposal Is Bad Policy and Bad Politics

The tax bill passed by Republicans in 2017 mostly made our tax code worse, increasing the federal debt by up to $2 trillion and delivering the bulk of its tax cuts to corporations and the rich. But the bill contained one very good, very progressive provision: capping the State and Local Tax (SALT) deduction at $10,000 per household. Unfortunately, House Democrats just made a proposal that would compound the GOP tax bill’s regressiveness: increasing the SALT cap and giving multimillionaires a $25,000 per year tax cut. The Senate must not follow their lead.

The SALT deduction has been around in some form for a long time, dating all the way back to the Civil War. It allows taxpayers to deduct what they pay in state and local income, property and sales taxes from their federal taxes. But not all taxpayers get to reap the benefits of the SALT deduction. Taxpayers must itemize their tax returns to be able to claim the SALT deduction—and only the richest taxpayers tend to itemize. Most taxpayers tend to take the standard deduction rather than itemize, unless they make at least $500,000 in a single year. And as one becomes richer, and consequently pays more in state and local taxes, the dollar benefit of the SALT deduction becomes larger.

Until the 2017 Republican tax bill capped the SALT deduction at $10,000, there was no limit on the amount that could be deducted. The cap amounted to a tax hike that applied almost exclusively to the richest Americans. It raises about $85 billion each year, 90 percent of which comes from the richest 10 percent of Americans.

Read the full op-ed in Newsweek.

PPI Attends Signing Ceremony for President Biden’s Bipartisan Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act

Legacy bipartisan achievement will help rebuild our communities and create jobs across America

 

Lindsay Mark Lewis, Executive Director of the Progressive Policy Institute, attended the signing ceremony this afternoon for President Biden’s Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act and released the following statement:

“The Progressive Policy Institute’s policy team is grateful to the White House and Congressional leaders for the opportunity to have contributed to the deliberations around the bipartisan Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act. This landmark bill at last ends a generation of chronic underinvestment in the public goods that make the great American jobs and innovative machine run.

“Congratulations to President Biden for succeeding where his predecessor failed, and we thank him and his team for including PPI in today’s historic bill signing.

“It is finally infrastructure week in America.”

The Progressive Policy Institute (PPI) is a catalyst for policy innovation and political reform based in Washington, D.C. Its mission is to create radically pragmatic ideas for moving America beyond ideological and partisan deadlock. Learn more about PPI by visiting progressivepolicy.org.

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Media Contact: Aaron White – awhite@ppionline.org

 

Ritz for Wall Street Journal: Build Back Better Must Adjust to Address Inflation Concerns

With inflation rising to its highest levels in over 30 years, Democrats must make sure they don’t exacerbate the problem. But the Build Back Better bill currently being considered by Congress would pour roughly $200 billion of deficit-financed fuel on the fire in its first year alone. Even worse, the bill threatens to turn potentially transformative policies into something temporary that angers voters and returns Republicans to power.

The solution isn’t to abandon President Biden’s agenda. There’s still time for Democrats to give priority to a few key programs in a focused and sustainably financed “kids and climate” bill, like the moderate New Democrat Coalition and many others have long advocated doing.

Sen. Joe Manchin and House moderates do their progressive colleagues a favor by demanding a bill that is fully funded without shell games and budget gimmicks. Pivoting to such a bill would shield Democrats from inflation risks and allow them to make permanent progressive policies that otherwise might vanish.

Read the full piece in the Wall Street Journal. 

Saving Money and Lives: How Telehealth Revolutionized Health Care During the Pandemic

The COVID-19 pandemic forced Americans inside their homes and restricted access to critical services, including health care. However, telehealth technology that was previously only used by a fraction of patients turned out to be a reliable way for all Americans to access health care services from the safety of their homes.

A new bipartisan report by the Progressive Policy Institute (PPI) and Americans for Prosperity (AFP) found that over the duration of the pandemic, the costs of telehealth care fell, suggesting that in a post-pandemic world telehealth could help increase access to medical care without increasing costs.

The report, authored by PPI Director of Health Care Arielle Kane and Americans for Prosperity Health Policy Analyst Charlie Katebi, found that at the outset of the pandemic, telehealth use skyrocketed, as did costs for those who utilized it versus those who didn’t. But as time went on, the average telehealth patient spent less on health care services than the average in-person patient. In the final month of the study, telehealth patients spent 26% less than the average in-person patient. Further, when excluding the first three months of near complete lockdowns, telehealth patients had lower overall health care utilization.

Read the report here.

Learn more about the Progressive Policy Institute here.

Learn more about Americans for Prosperity here.

The Biden Administration, Congress Must Allow Adult Smokers to Choose Better

I used to smoke cigarettes. I don’t anymore. I completely stopped smoking and switched to an electronic inhalable tobacco product called IQOS. It’s the only one of its kind authorized by the Food and Drug Administration as a modified risk tobacco product and the only product that let me leave cigarettes behind. In less than two weeks this product could disappear from American stores and I’ll likely go back to smoking cigarettes and I won’t be alone.

The White House must not let this happen.

The U.S. International Trade Commission (ITC) ignored the tremendous promise IQOS offers to promote public health and recommended banning sales because of a dispute involving antiquated patents.  This decision completely ignores the public health needs of adult smokers.

In reaching its conclusion, the ITC discredited a years-long scientific review of IQOS by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA). With the stroke of a pen a patent court invalidated the conclusions of the only federal agency with the authority and the expertise to make public health decisions that can reduce smoking in this country.

The ITC’s decision is now working its way through what’s known as a “Presidential Review Period,” basically the Biden Administration has the power to reject the sales ban handed down by the ITC on public interest grounds—and there is a massive public interest issue at the heart of their decision. Many of the thousands of American adult smokers who have switched completely to IQOS, like me, will likely switch back to cigarettes, also like me, if they are no longer able to choose a better alternative that works for them.

So much progress has been made to reduce cigarette use in the United States, but there is still a long way to go. That journey only gets longer if patents prevail over health and smokers lose choice. We need to focus on reducing the harms caused by tobacco, not maintaining the status quo.

However, the clock is ticking. The Office of the U.S. Trade Representative (USTR) will soon make a recommendation to the White House on whether to reject the ITC’s ban or let it stand.  It is imperative that the FDA make its voice heard and make the case for letting its scientific acumen and public health mission prevail—and it is imperative that the Administration side with science.

As uncomfortable as the tobacco industry might be to USTR, and others in the Biden Administration, this is not about tobacco companies. This is about real people who must be put first.

Unfortunately, real people don’t seem to be on the mind of Congress, either.

Right now, the House of Representatives’ latest Build Back Better bill contains a truly bizarre proposal to dramatically hike taxes on better choices to cigarettes, like e-vapor and nicotine pouches, making them more expensive than cigarettes.

The Wall Street Journal this week reported that Sens. expressed by Sens. Catherine Cortez Masto (D-Nev) and Joe Manchin (D-WV) oppose the proposed tax—and they are right. I hope others join them.

According to research from Georgia State University, increasing the tax on e-vapor products would raise the number of daily adult cigarette smokers by 2.5 million nationally and reduce adult e-cigarette users by a similar number.  For every e-vapor pod eliminated by making it more expensive than a cigarette, an additional 5.5 extra packs of cigarettes will be sold.

This is not a science-driven path to lessening the public health burden of tobacco use.

My message to the White House and Congress is simple: let smokers choose better options to cigarettes.  Denying them that choice is also a simple matter: it’s not good government.

 

Mandel for The International Economy Magazine: Important political and economic forces can limit how often the cannons can be shot

By PPI Chief Economist Dr. Michael Mandel.

 

The United States is not likely to run out of ammunition for its “fiscal stimulus cannons” in the immediate future. However, important political and economic forces can limit how often the cannons can be shot. Moreover, fundamental changes in the global economy—in particular, the increased emphasis on supply chains and data-driven consumption, investment, and trade—make it harder than ever before to determine how close the fiscal cannons are to overheating.

From a fiscal perspective, the U.S. government is in the enviable position of being a safe haven for investment in a very uncertain world even as the country’s debt-to-GDP ratio climbs. Even if a large unnamed country decides that it wants to stop buying U.S. Treasury securities, plenty of other foreign investors are ready to shift money to the United States to take up the slack.

 

Read the full piece in The International Economy Magazine.

PPI Director of Health Care Arielle Kane Discusses New Telehealth Report on PPI’s Radically Pragmatic Podcast

As host of this week’s episode of the Radically Pragmatic Podcast, Progressive Policy Institute (PPI) Director of Health Care Arielle Kane sat down with Charlie Katebi, Policy Analyst at Americans for Prosperity (AFP), to discuss their new bipartisan report “Telehealth Saves Money and Lives: Lessons from the COVID-19 Pandemic.”

“If you imagine over time things leveling out, not having payment parity laws on the books, people more self-selecting into seeking care remotely or in-person, I do think the trend shows that telehealth could garner a bunch of savings. … It shows a lot of potential,” said Arielle on the podcast. 

Arielle and Charlie discussed the state of telehealth prior to COVID-19, the potential for cost savings their report identifies, and how policymakers at the federal and state level can confidently take action to protect and expand virtual care. 

Listen here and subscribe:

 

The podcast and study were in partnership with Americans for Prosperity.

The Progressive Policy Institute (PPI) is a catalyst for policy innovation and political reform based in Washington, D.C. Its mission is to create radically pragmatic ideas for moving America beyond ideological and partisan deadlock. Learn more about PPI by visiting progressivepolicy.org.

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PPI’s Trade Fact of the Week: Pirate attacks are at their lowest rate in 30 years – Nov. 10, 2021

FACT:

Pirate attacks are at their lowest rate in 30 years.

THE NUMBERS: 

Pirate attacks worldwide

2021: 125?
2020: 195
2019: 162
2012: 297
2010: 445

WHAT THEY MEAN:

A terse description of a high-seas pirate attack off Nigeria three weeks ago, from the International Maritime Bureau’s Piracy Reporting Centre:

Oct. 25, 2021: While underway, a container ship was boarded by an unknown number of pirate and the crew retreated into the citadel.  On being notified of the incident, the IMB Piracy Reporting Centre immediately alerted and liaised with the Regional Authorities and international warships to request for assistance.  A Russian Navy warship and its helicopter responded and proceeded to render assistance resulting in the crew and ship being safe.  The pirates escaped with stolen ship’s properties.  

Background: A decade of naval cooperation, even among distrustful big powers, appears to have made high-seas pirate work more difficult and less rewarding.

In 2010, international waters off Somalia — the Red Sea, the Gulf of Aden, and the ‘Bab-el-Mandeb’ strait, the principal commercial and energy link between Asia and Europe, with 50 ship transits and 3.4 million barrels of oil moving daily — were the center of the pirate industry.  The collapse of Somalia’s central state in 1991 left country prey to sequential waves of violent clan-based militias, radical fundamentalists and crime gangs.  One product of this was a notorious high-seas pirate industry; at its peak from 2005 to 2010, gangs using small speedboats and automatic weapons were attacking three or more ships a week on the high seas — in total, 181 attacks in 2009 — and in 2010 they were holding 30 vessels and 600 sailors for ransoms ranging up to $95 million.

Since then, the 29-country naval patrol known as CTF-151 (“Combined Task Force 151”) with rotating commands led this year by Pakistan and now Brazil, appears to have essentially eliminated the Somali pirate industry.  The last two successful attacks on high-seas vessels in this region were in 2017, and the most recent failed attempt was in 2019; none at all are reported for 2020 and 2021.

On a worldwide scale, pirate attacks have fallen by over half in the past decade, from 445 known attacks in 2010 to 195 in 2020.  The running tally kept by the International Maritime Bureau in Kuala Lumpur suggests that this year’s count may fall below 150, which would be the fewest attacks since 1994.  Piracy is now most frequent in Indonesia and in the Singapore Strait, the sites of 47 of last year’s 161 attacks and 25 of the 97 attacks reported through September 2021.  Only two of these, though, were actual attacks on high-seas shipping; the others were attempted robberies of ships in port or at anchor. Attacks off West Africa are somewhat less frequent — 24 in 2020, or two each month — but appear to feature especially well-armed and violent pirates, responsible for all three 2020 high-seas hijackings of ships, along with 128 of the 135 crew kidnappings, and nine of the 11 incidents of firing on shipping.  In West Africa too though, frequency and severity have diminished this year, with the open-water event off Brass last month the only high-seas attack recorded so far.  Its quick interruption by a Russian naval patrol, even though the pirates got away with some stolen equipment, suggests some success for international naval cooperation here as well.

FURTHER READING

Facts and data

The International Maritime Bureau’s piracy reports for 2020 find:

Totals: 195 pirate attacks of all kinds worldwide, down from a peak of 445 attacks in 2010, and down again by 30% (from 132 to 97) through the first nine months of 2021.

Hijackings: 11 hijackings of high-seas shipping, down from 53 in 2010; only two so far in 2021.

The International Maritime Bureau on recent pirate attacks, with the full-year 2020 and partial-year 2021 reports available at no cost via e-mail:

Navy perspectives 

Command Task Force 151, led last year by Pakistan and this year by Brazil, patrols Somali waters.

The Marinha do Brasil takes over CTF-151.

And the U.S. Navy reports on joint anti-piracy training with the Ghanaian navy this spring, and Ghanaian-American sailors Samuel Ellis and Prince Boateng visiting home.

The Singapore-based Information Sharing Center for the Regional Cooperation Agreement on Combating Piracy (RECAAP) oversees anti-piracy operations in maritime Southeast Asia.

Two views on Somali piracy

Brookings Institution scholars speculate on a link between illegal/unreported/unregulated fisheries and piracy rates, can be read here.

And a personal account from journalist Michael Scott Moore in The Guardian, on his 977 days as a pirate kidnap victim can be read here.

ABOUT ED

Ed Gresser is Vice President and Director for Trade and Global Markets at PPI.

Ed returns to PPI after working for the think tank from 2001-2011. He most recently served as the Assistant U.S. Trade Representative for Trade Policy and Economics at the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR). In this position, he led USTR’s economic research unit from 2015-2021, and chaired the 21-agency Trade Policy Staff Committee.

Ed began his career on Capitol Hill before serving USTR as Policy Advisor to USTR Charlene Barshefsky from 1998 to 2001. He then led PPI’s Trade and Global Markets Project from 2001 to 2011. After PPI, he co-founded and directed the independent think tank ProgressiveEconomy until rejoining USTR in 2015. In 2013, the Washington International Trade Association presented him with its Lighthouse Award, awarded annually to an individual or group for significant contributions to trade policy.

Ed is the author of Freedom from Want: American Liberalism and the Global Economy (2007).  He has published in a variety of journals and newspapers, and his research has been cited by leading academics and international organizations including the WTO, World Bank, and International Monetary Fund. He is a graduate of Stanford University and holds a Master’s Degree in International Affairs from Columbia Universities and a certificate from the Averell Harriman Institute for Advanced Study of the Soviet Union.

Read the full email and sign up for the Trade Fact of the Week

Kane in The Hill: Telehealth was a godsend during the pandemic; Congress should keep the innovation going

By Arielle Kane and Charlie Katebi 

When it comes to health policy, “as Medicare goes, so goes the nation.” Unfortunately, burdensome federal regulations prevented Medicare from delivering virtual care to millions of seniors around the country — until the COVID-19 pandemic.

Lawmakers enacted these restrictions because they feared making telehealth widely accessible would lead to patients using unnecessary health care services. Many private insurers followed Medicare’s lead and similarly limited access to many telehealth services.

But when confronted with the crisis of coronavirus, which shut down large parts of the economy and forced families to stay home to reduce the spread of infection, state and federal lawmakers dropped those objections, rightly concluding that telehealth would help people access care during the emergency.

Read the full piece in The Hill. 

Telehealth Expansion Improves Outcomes and Lowers Costs, Finds New Bipartisan Report from PPI and AFP

A new bipartisan report by the Progressive Policy Institute (PPI) and Americans for Prosperity (AFP) found that over the duration of the pandemic, the costs of telehealth care fell, suggesting that in a post-pandemic world telehealth could help increase access to medical care without increasing costs.

The report, “Telehealth Saves Money and Lives: Lessons from the COVID-19 Pandemic,” analyzed FAIR Health data from January 2020 to February 2021. Its findings contradict assumptions made by the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO) that unnecessary health care utilization (i.e. overuse) would increase if telehealth services were made easier to access.

The bipartisan report, authored by PPI Director of Health Care Arielle Kane and Americans for Prosperity Health Policy Analyst Charlie Katebi, found that at the outset of the pandemic, telehealth use skyrocketed, as did costs for those who utilized it versus those who didn’t. But as time went on, the average telehealth patient spent less on health care services than the average in-person patient. In the final month of the study, telehealth patients spent 26% less than the average in-person patient. Further, when excluding the first three months of near complete lockdowns, telehealth patients had lower overall health care utilization.

“Not only does telehealth increase access to care, it also has the potential to be a cost saver,” said Arielle Kane, Director of Health Policy for PPI. “With these findings in mind, policymakers on the federal and state levels can confidently take action to expand access to telehealth services before the emergency provisions expire, protecting services that have directly resulted in patients gaining access to the care they need at a lower cost.”

“Panic over emerging technology is nothing new, but this report shows that the main concerns surrounding virtual care are not supported by evidence,” said Charlie Katebi, Health Policy Analyst at Americans for Prosperity. “Telehealth proved to be a godsend during the pandemic — not just because it kept Americans connected to their doctors, but because it saved them money, too. And while Americans used more virtual care at the height of the pandemic, they used less health care overall. Based on this study, it’s clear that making telehealth more widely available will boost access to quality care and reduce costs.”

The report highlighted recent legislative initiatives aimed at permanently enacting pandemic-era telehealth reforms, including Sen. Brian Schatz (D-Hawaii)’s CONNECT for Health Act and Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.)’s Protecting Rural Telehealth Access Act. These bills would authorize providers to offer virtual care to Medicare beneficiaries across the country while allowing patients to receive telehealth services at home.

“Ensuring that Americans in rural communities can access the quality healthcare services they need is crucial. My bill, the bipartisan Protecting Rural Telehealth Access Act, gives West Virginians the freedom to attend health care appointments over the phone from the comfort of their homes while also ensuring our healthcare providers are adequately reimbursed. This vital research paper showcases the importance of telehealth services and the potential decreases in individual and taxpayer costs. Increasing awareness on the importance of telehealth services is vital, and I urge my colleagues on both sides of the aisle to support commonsense reforms, like my bill, to ensure every American has access to quality health care, regardless of where they live,” said Senator Manchin.

“Throughout the pandemic, telehealth played a crucial role in ensuring all Americans — particularly seniors and those in underserved communities — could access the health care services they needed, at no risk to themselves,” said Senator Scott.  “As this report makes clear, Congress should put the lessons learned from the pandemic into action with appropriate legislation, like the CONNECT for Health Act. Doing so will not only bolster Americans’ access to quality health care today, but it will also ensure that we are better prepared for public health emergencies in the future.”

“Telehealth is a powerful tool in expanding access to quality health care across the country,” Senator Wicker said. “It is encouraging to see momentum grow in the support and utilization of such resources at both the federal and state level. I will continue to champion the permanent expansion of telehealth so that people can continue to use those services, even as we emerge from the coronavirus pandemic.”

Read the report and expanded findings here:

The Progressive Policy Institute (PPI) is a catalyst for policy innovation and political reform based in Washington, D.C. with offices in Brussels and Berlin. Its mission is to create radically pragmatic ideas for moving America beyond ideological and partisan deadlock. Learn more about PPI by visiting progressivepolicy.org and follow PPI on twitter @ppi.

Through broad-based grassroots outreach, Americans for Prosperity (AFP) is driving long-term solutions to the country’s biggest problems. AFP activists engage friends and neighbors on key issues and encourage them to take an active role in building a culture of mutual benefit, where people succeed by helping one another. AFP recruits and engages activists in all 50 states behind a common goal of advancing policies that will help people improve their lives. Learn more at americansforprosperity.org. Join us on Facebook, Twitter, LinkedIn, Instagram and YouTube.

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Media Contact for PPI: Aaron White – awhite@ppionline.org
Media Contact for AFP: Geoff Holtzman – gholtzman@afphq.org

Telehealth Saves Money and Lives: Lessons from the COVID-19 Pandemic

Authored By:

Arielle Kane, Director of Health Policy at the Progressive Policy Institute 
Charlie Katebi, Health Policy Analyst for Americans for Prosperity

This report is a joint project of the Progressive Policy Institute and Americans For Prosperity.
INTRODUCTION

Prior to the COVID-19 pandemic, few Americans could access telehealth to meet their health care needs. State and national lawmakers imposed enormous obstacles on patients seeking to virtually connect with their health care provider. Policymakers feared widespread telehealth use would increase spending on unnecessary health care services. As such, Medicare banned clinicians from delivering telehealth outside of rural communities and prohibited patients from receiving telehealth within their homes.

But that dynamic changed when the coronavirus pandemic arrived in the United States, shutting down large parts of the economy and forcing families to stay home to reduce the spread of infection. In early 2020, President Donald Trump declared COVID-19 to be a public health emergency and the federal Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) used its emergency powers to temporarily suspend a variety of regulations to allow Medicare recipients to remotely access care through telehealth. In addition, states waived licensing and regulatory barriers to expand access to virtual care for individuals with commercial insurance.

As a result, telehealth became a safe, reliable source of high-quality care for tens of millions of Americans during the pandemic.

Unfortunately, without codifying these temporary reforms into law, they expire at the end of the public health emergency. The pandemic provides an opportunity to study the impact of the increasing use of telehealth services on health care outcomes and costs. Americans for Prosperity and Progressive Policy Institute worked with FAIR Health to examine how telehealth use changed during the pandemic and assess if it had an impact on costs or health outcomes improved.

Using aggregated, de-identified data from FAIR Health, our study found that while telehealth patients’ costs started higher than in-person patients’ costs, the average telehealth patients’ health care costs fell 61%, from $1,099 per month to $425 per month between January 2020 and February 2021.

Additionally, people who used telehealth had lower overall health care utilization compared with people who used only in-person care, except during the early months of the pandemic, March to May 2020.

Our study confirms a promising trend toward cost savings for patients who use a combination of in-person and telehealth services. These results should give lawmakers confidence to extend the telehealth provisions of the public health emergency rather than letting them expire.

 

BACKGROUND

There is an axiom in health policy circles: “As Medicare goes, so goes the nation.” Starting in 2001, Congress authorized Medicare to deliver telehealth to the program’s recipients. However, these reforms imposed numerous restrictions that limited the availability of virtual care to a small number of seniors in rural areas. Lawmakers enacted these restrictions because they feared that making telehealth widely accessible would lead to patients accessing unnecessary services. Many clinicians were also hesitant to adopt telehealth, fearing it could disrupt existing practice arrangements and negatively affect their incomes.

But Medicare, insurers, and states shifted their telehealth policies to address COVID-19. On March 13, 2020, President Donald Trump formally declared COVID-19 a national emergency and authorized HHS to temporarily waive laws and regulations to combat and contain the virus. Several days later, Congress passed the CARES Act, which granted HHS additional powers to take emergency measures against COVID-19.

Using its new authority, HHS suspended regulations that prevented health care professionals from remotely delivering care through telehealth. The agency suspended the requirement that Medicare beneficiaries reside in a rural area to receive telehealth services. It waived restrictions that prevented patients from accessing telehealth in their home and allowed for audio-only services. In addition, it permitted rural health clinics (RHCs) and federally qualified health centers (FQHCs) to provide remote virtual care.

HHS also took groundbreaking steps to allow health professionals to deliver a greater array of remote services. The agency announced approximately 240 new telehealth services that providers can deliver to Medicare recipients, including mental health consultations and emergency care.

The agency also authorized all types of health professionals to deliver virtual care to Medicare recipients, expanding the list of telehealth-eligible practitioners to include physical therapists, occupational therapists, and speech language pathologists. Prior to COVID-19, federal law authorized only nine types of health care providers to deliver telehealth services.

Like the federal government, state governors took steps to expand the availability of telehealth to combat COVID-19. Many states suspended regulations that restricted the kinds of technologies practitioners could use to communicate with patients. Ending these restrictions allowed doctors to consult with patients through widely available technology including audio-only phone calls, online video platforms, emails, and instant messages.

Other states waived rules that limited the practice of telehealth to physicians and nurses, expanding practice eligibility to all health care providers licensed by the state. In addition, states removed many rules prohibiting patients from receiving virtual care at home.

Every state also temporarily eased or suspended costly licensing requirements to authorize health care providers licensed in other states to deliver telehealth to their residents. Prior to the pandemic, medical licensing boards charged every license applicant hundreds of dollars and forced them to wait three to nine months before they received a license to practice in their states. These reforms authorized health professionals from all over the country to support patients in pandemic hotspots.

 

HOW TELEHEALTH CHANGED HEALTH CARE DURING THE PANDEMIC

HHS’s emergency actions expanded access to telehealth for Medicare beneficiaries. Before the pandemic, only 134,000 Medicare enrollees received virtual care every week during the first half of 2019. After these reforms took effect, the number of enrollees receiving telehealth increased over 7,400% to 10.1 million between January and June 2020.

These reforms empowered Medicare patients to access telehealth through an array of technology options that were unavailable prior to the pandemic. Because of the availability of audio-only services, the majority (56%) of Medicare beneficiaries who used telehealth did so via phone. Roughly twice the number of Medicare beneficiaries had a telehealth visit via video (28%).

Removing state and federal barriers also expanded telehealth among individuals with commercial health plans. Prior to the public health emergency declaration in January 2020, providers delivered only 1.5% of health services through telehealth, according to claims data compiled by the COVID-19 Health Care Coalition. After these reforms took effect, providers delivered nearly 24% of all services through telehealth.

These telehealth reforms proved to be especially effective at expanding access for patients with complex conditions. Among Americans with private insurance, another study found that the majority of telehealth users used telehealth for chronic conditions, like diabetes, and behavioral conditions, including depression and anxiety. Another study found physical therapy via telehealth after hip surgery was just as clinically effective and less expensive than in-person care.

Overall, consumer interest in telehealth significantly increased during the pandemic. Prior to the pandemic, consumers were also slow to adopt telehealth. Only 11% of patients had a telehealth visit in 2019. By the height of the pandemic, utilization had increased fourfold. But while the pandemic has kickstarted a dramatic shift in health care delivery, a recent survey found that consumers are increasingly frustrated with limits on telehealth services, opaque costs, and confusing technology requirements.

Additionally, even with the expanded coverage, telehealth services are harder to access in rural areas. Rural Medicare beneficiaries reported that their health care providers were less likely to offer telehealth services than those living in urban areas (52% vs. 67%, respectively). And although telehealth seems like it could help expand the services that small rural hospitals could provide, they are the least likely to have the technology because of the upfront costs. The digital divide affects not only patients but also providers.

WHAT COMES NEXT?

These groundbreaking telehealth reforms are limited to HHS’ COVID-19 public health emergency declaration in early 2020. As soon as the secretary declares the COVID-19 crisis over, these harmful telehealth barriers will resume and patients will lose access to critical virtual care.

Medicare announced it will no longer offer payment parity for video and telephone visits after the federal public health emergency order expires. When it ends, the Medicare Payment and Access Commission (MedPAC) recommended that “Medicare should return to paying the fee schedule’s facility rate for telehealth services and collect data on the cost of providing these services.”

It also calls for ending providers’ discretion to reduce or waive cost sharing for telehealth services. MedPAC also proposed that CMS permanently establish three safeguards after the public health emergency ends to prevent unnecessary spending and potential fraud from telehealth:

 

  • Applying additional scrutiny to outlier clinicians who bill significantly more telehealth per capita
  • Requiring in-person visits before clinicians order expensive medical equipment or laboratory tests
  • Prohibiting “incident to” billing for telehealth services by clinicians who can bill Medicare

directly

Many states have already reverted to prepandemic telehealth rules. Alaska and Florida have let their public health emergency declarations expire, freezing many telehealth expansions.

However, other states, seeing the value of telehealth, have decided to let telehealth providers keep offering services over the phone pending new federal legislation enabling Medicare to reimburse for a wider spectrum of telehealth services.

 

TELEHEALTH LEGISLATION

Legislative action is necessary to preserve these essential telehealth reforms. To allow Medicare beneficiaries to access telehealth on a long-term basis, Senator Brian Schatz (D-Hawaii) and a bipartisan group of 59 cosponsors introduced the CONNECT For Health Act.

This bill would permanently extend COVID-era telehealth reforms and allow providers to deliver services to Medicare beneficiaries in every ZIP code in the United States, rather than just rural ones. It would also permit Medicare beneficiaries to receive virtual services from the comfort of their home and authorize important facilities such as Federally Qualified Health Centers and Rural Health Centers to deliver telehealth to patients.

Senator Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) and other lawmakers introduced a similar bill, the Protecting Rural Telehealth Access Act, which would allow providers to offer virtual care to Medicare patients in any area of the country, permit patients to receive telehealth at home, and authorize FQHCs and RHC to provide virtual care. In addition, it would give Medicare beneficiaries the option to consult with health care providers through audio-only phone calls, video messages, and images, which proved popular during the pandemic.

Senator Tim Scott (R-S.C.) introduced the Telehealth Modernization Act to extend telehealth services to Medicare beneficiaries in any geographic area to receive virtual services, including in the home. Furthermore, it would authorize all types of health care providers to deliver virtual care to Medicare recipients. These measures would preserve the important telehealth reforms HHS implemented during the pandemic that allow providers to deliver medically appropriate virtual care.

DOES TELEHEALTH RAISE COSTS?

While many lawmakers are taking steps to permanently enact telehealth reforms into law, some fear that creating new Medicare telehealth benefits will lead to patients spending more taxpayer dollars on health care. Specifically, skeptics cite analysis from the Congressional Budget Office, which estimates removing Medicare’s telehealth limitations on virtual mental health care would increase utilization and thus spending by $1.65 billion over 10 years.

Fortunately, there is mounting evidence that telehealth can lower health care spending and reduce taxpayer costs. According to a 2021 analysis from the MedPAC, when Medicare patients chose telehealth for their primary care needs, in-person primary care visits fell by 25%.

Virtual care can also decrease health care spending by enhancing preventive care and reducing the need for patients to make expensive visits to hospitals and urgent care centers. One 2012 analysis of the Veterans Health Administration’s telehealth program for chronically ill veterans found virtual care reduced the average cost of every patient by $6,500, saving $1 billion in a single year. The program achieved these savings by reducing hospital admissions by 19% and decreasing the number of days patients spend in the hospital by 25%.

As the pandemic drags on, telehealth continues to prove it enhances patient outcomes and lowers costs. In 2020, Ascension Health found 60% of its telehealth patients would have visited an urgent care clinic or emergency room if they did not offer virtual care. This decreased outpatient visits by 33% for Ascension’s patients.

To expand on this evidence, Americans for Prosperity and the Progressive Policy Institute analyzed aggregated, de-identified data provided by FAIR Health, Inc., based on claims data from its FH NPIC® repository of privately insured medical claims. We received statistical results that reflected the experience of patients who received telehealth and those who did not have any telehealth services. The results also included a nationwide study of telehealth’s effect on patient outcomes and health care spending. Americans for Prosperity and Progressive Policy Institute studied the aggregated data results reflecting the claims experience of 8.1 million patients who used telehealth and compared them to an equivalent aggregated dataset which reflected 15.8 million patients who used inperson care only between January 1, 2020, and February 28, 2021.

To determine telehealth’s impact on patient outcomes and costs, we compared data from FAIR Health based on de-identified patients of both groups with the same age, sex, and health conditions. The health conditions included mental disorders, hypertensive diseases, communicable diseases, respiratory infections, circulatory and respiratory symptoms, episodic and paroxysmal disorders, digestive system and abdomen symptoms, and diabetes.

 

 

The use of telehealth skyrocketed during the early months of the pandemic. Our study found that in April 2020, telehealth appointments accounted for 70% of all health care appointments.

However, as some of normal life resumed, telehealth appointments stabilized at around 30% of all appointments. Telehealth will never fully replace in-person care, but it’s clear that it can meet patients where they are and help them access needed medical services.

TELEHEALTH PATIENTS’ COSTS

During the pandemic, patients who used telehealth spent more on health services compared with individuals who sought care exclusively from in-person providers. Over the 13-month period studied, individuals who used telehealth spent 19% more on average than in-person patients. This could be explained by the unusual care patterns during the pandemic — sicker patients may have been more afraid of catching COVID-19 and therefore tried to avoid going to the hospital by using telehealth.

Another reason could be policymakers required Medicare, Medicaid, and private health insurers to pay for telehealth services at the same reimbursement rate as in-person services, a policy known as payment parity. Lawmakers intended these measures to encourage providers to offer telehealth as more Americans sought remote care during the pandemic. However, payment parity may have artificially increased the cost of virtual care for patients and taxpayers. Without these expensive mandates, telehealth consultations can cost up to 75% less than in-person consultations. Payment parity may help explain why patients who used telehealth cost more on average than patients who didn’t.

It’s important to note, however, that patients who used telehealth spent significantly less on health services by the end of the study period compared with the start. Between January 2020 and February 2021, the average telehealth users’ monthly health care expenses fell from $1,099 to $425, a 61% decline. Telehealth patients’ costs fell faster than in-person patients: The average in-person patient spent $910 per month in January 2020 and $578 in February 2021.

The data also showed that for seven of the 10 conditions observed, patients who used telehealth spent more than patients who sought in-person care. Only telehealth patients with abdominal symptoms, respiratory symptoms, and general symptoms spent less relative to inperson patients with the same conditions. Again, this could be explained by the unusual care and payment patterns during the pandemic. However, patients of all conditions who used telehealth spent less over time. On a percentage basis, the company found individuals with diabetes, anxiety, and hypertensive diseases had a 71% reduction in spending between January 2020 and February 2021.

 

TELEHEALTH’S IMPACT ON UTILIZATION

Despite the increased availability of telehealth during the pandemic, for the observed conditions, utilization of the health care system did not increase for telehealth users. For seven of the 10 observed conditions, the average number of total appointments with the health care system — one way to measure utilization — was the same or fewer for people who used telehealth relative to people who did not. The only conditions where utilization was higher were anxiety disorders, mood disorders and communicable diseases. This is easily explained by the fact that anxiety and mood disorders require ongoing care and that the study period included a global pandemic and thus appointments related to communicable disease exposure were high.

In the case of emergency department visits, individuals who used telehealth accessed emergency care more often than individuals who used in-person care. During the 13-month study period, 6% of telehealth patients on average visited the ED per month. In contrast, just 3% of in-person patients accessed emergency care over this period.

But the data showed an important trend line: Individuals who used telehealth made significantly fewer emergency room visits at the end of the study period compared to the start. From January 2020 to February 2021, the average telehealth patient saw their monthly ER visit rate fall from 8.5% to 3.03%. These findings confirm prior research that found telehealth allowed providers to deliver early interventions to individuals, resulting in the use of fewer intensive services.

Taken as a whole, our findings offer strong evidence that the rise of telehealth during the pandemic has not increased overall utilization of the health care system, as many policymakers and budget hawks have feared. While some of the findings will need a longer study window to see what happens after the pandemic ends, it’s evident that consumers don’t use telehealth promiscuously. Instead, telehealth presents a promising opportunity to tailor care to individuals’ unique circumstances and makes it easier for people to access essential services.

 

CONCLUSION

Our analysis of the aggregated FAIR Health data shows telehealth can dramatically expand health care access without raising costs on taxpayers. Throughout the COVID-19 pandemic, state and federal officials implemented groundbreaking temporary reforms that allowed millions of Americans to remotely access essential care from qualified health professionals. As a result, many policymakers propose making long-term reforms to allow providers to deliver telehealth care on a permanent basis. However, some lawmakers fear that making telehealth available would lead to patients spending more on care by making unnecessary purchases of services.

Our analysis of FAIR Health’s data found patients who use telehealth spend significantly less on health care services over time. Between January 2020 and February 2021, the average telehealth patients’ health care expenses fell 61%, from $1,099 per month to $425 per month. Furthermore, telehealth patients purchased fewer in-person health care services such as emergency care during this time period. This suggests virtual care improves patient health and allows individuals to purchase fewer expensive procedures.

These findings hold important lessons for policymakers in Congress and around the country. Our study shows lawmakers can make important telehealth services widely available to families without raising costs on taxpayers. Therefore, Congress should permanently empower health practitioners to provide virtual care to all Medicare recipients. This would ensure seniors continue to receive quality and cost-effective care from the convenience of their homes long after the pandemic ends.

 

ABOUT THE AUTHORS

Arielle Kane is the director of Health Policy at the Progressive Policy Institute. Her research focuses on what comes next for health policy in order to expand access, reduce costs and improve quality.

Charlie Katebi is a health policy analyst for Americans for Prosperity, where he promotes state and federal policies that increase patient choices, lower costs, and expand access to quality health care.

 

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Bledsoe for the New York Times: How to Limit Temperature Increases in the Very Near Term

Paul Bledsoe, Durwood Zaelke and 

If the years of devastating droughts, floods, heat waves and wildfires since the Paris climate agreement was adopted have taught us anything, it’s that we have underestimated the pace of extreme, destabilizing climate change.

The world has warmed by about 1.1 degrees Celsius from preindustrial levels, much of it occurring since 1950, and the pace continues. That’s why it was so important that more than 100 countries joined a coalition led by the United States and the European Union last week to cut global emissions of the potent greenhouse gas methane by at least 30 percent by 2030.

But delegates meeting at a world climate conference in Glasgow have more to do: For the security of the planet, they need to act further and faster to limit near-term temperature increases.

Read the full piece in the New York Times.