Bledsoe for The Messenger: A Melting Arctic Will Bring Climate Disaster Without Urgent Action

By Paul Bledsoe

President Joe Biden met with both U.K. Prime Minister Rishi Sunak and then King Charles this week to discuss climate change, and action on the Arctic should have been at the top of the agenda since the melting of Arctic sea ice is rapidly destabilizing the climate more powerfully than any other immediate cause.

As the Arctic’s reflective sea ice continues to melt, more and more heat is absorbed by the darker ocean underneath, disrupting the world’s weather and inflicting punishing and hugely expensive climate impacts in the U.S., U.K. and around the globe.

The loss of sea ice also is rearranging geopolitical power in very dangerous ways for the West, as Russia and China cooperate on newly opened Arctic sea lanes and plot to jointly exploit oil, gas and other minerals made more accessible as the ice disappears.

But there is still a choice: temporary riches from oil and gas for a few, or planetary safety for all.  This should be an easy call.  But it doesn’t seem to be.

Read more.

This story was originally published by The Messenger on July 11, 2023.

Jacoby for The Neoliberal Podcast: Building a New Ukraine

 

The war to fight Russia’s invasion is the most important story in Ukraine. But what comes after the war? Tamar Jacoby, head of The New Ukraine Project, joins the podcast to discuss Ukraine’s efforts to build a stronger society. We discuss Ukraine’s history of poverty and corruption, what’s being done to address issues like corruption, what the Ukrainian people really want, and how much more liberal and democratic Ukraine can become in the near future.

Bledsoe and Gresser for The Messenger: A Trade-Based Climate Policy Can Cut Emissions Globally

By Paul Bledsoe and Ed Gresser

The recent reopening of diplomatic dialogue by Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Chinese leaders highlighted the enormous importance of climate change action by the world’s two largest greenhouse gas emitters. But it did not yield immediate progress on China’s huge annual carbon emissions.

In contrast, the U.S., European Union and their G7 allies are taking historic actions to reduce greenhouse emissions. America’s effort includes hundreds of billions of dollars in subsidies for domestic private-sector investments in clean energy, intended to reduce emissions by 50% or more by 2030 and reach “net-zero” emissions before mid-century.

Action by the G7, however, isn’t nearly enough. Total global emissions continue to grow, setting another record last year. The reason is emissions growth from large middle-income countries. China produces nearly one-third of the world’s 36 billion tons of annual carbon dioxide emissionsmore than all developed countries combined, while Russia, India, Brazil and Indonesia add 5.6 billion tons. Emissions from all these countries are still rising.

As emissions and global temperatures increase, hugely expensive and deadly climate impacts are multiplying, from last year’s floods in Pakistan to this year’s Canadian wildfires and many others in every region of the world. These are clear warnings of a future of far more devastating climate disasters unless global emissions begin falling very soon.

Read more.

This story was originally published in The Messenger on July 3, 2023.

PPI’s Trade Fact of the Week: American colonies’ ‘official’ tea imports in 1772: 370 tons

FACT: American colonies’ “official” tea imports in 1772: 370 tons

THE NUMBERS: Vessel calls at Boston Harbor –

2020:         779*
1772:           845

* Cargo vessels; adding fishing vessels and cruise ships, the annual total is likely around 1,500. 

 

WHAT THEY MEAN:

A post-Fourth coda:

The Declaration’s opening paragraphs speak to aspirations — “Life, Liberty, and the pursuit of Happiness” — and the responsibilities of government.  The actual declaration of independence, “these United Colonies are, and of Right ought to be Free and Independent States”, comes at the close.  In between is a list of 27 grievances, of which the sixteenth is a trade policy complaint — “cutting off our Trade with all parts of the world” — and the seventeenth is a general problem of taxation appearing in the form of tariffs. (“Imposing Taxes on us without our Consent”.)  Apart from the patriotic images the list elicits – chests of tea falling into the harbor, red-coated soldiers patrolling colonial Boston, the Continental Congress meeting in Philadelphia — the grievances both refer to very specific events of 1773 and 1774, and raise larger questions about how trade policy and commerce interact with governance, personal rights and liberties, and war.

Background: Just before the revolution, the American colonies had a population of about 2.15 million spread out along the Atlantic seaboard, with the largest concentrations in Massachusetts, New York, Pennsylvania, and Virginia. They appear to have made up about 20% of the population and 30% of the “GDP” of the British empire, and had very busy maritime economies.  Modern attempts to estimate a trade-to-GDP ratio for the early United States in the 1790s show imports at something like 17% of GDP and exports a bit less — figures very close to those of the 2020s — and these ratios were probably higher before the Revolution. Actual figures collected at the time illustrate: The Port of Boston served a Massachusetts population of about 280,000 and reported 845 ship arrivals in 1772, the year before the Tea Party.* Of this total, 93 came into port from Britain and Ireland, 20 from continental Europe, 216 from the Caribbean, and 427 from other North American ports. Adding New York, Philadelphia, Hampton, and Charleston to the Boston figures gives a total of 3,076 arrivals, including 393 from Britain and Ireland, 230 from Europe, 31 from Africa, and 985 from the Caribbean.

In financial and product terms, outbound vessels carried about £3.4 million a year in colonial exports, of which about half (by value) went to Britain and Ireland, a quarter to continental Europe, and a quarter to the Caribbean. These were mostly resource products and agricultural goods. The top 1772 export, accounting for a bit more than a quarter of the total, was £907,000 worth of tobacco from slave-worked plantations in the mid-Atlantic. Next came £397,000 of New England fish, £504,000 of flour and bread, £341,000 of South Carolina rice, and on down through indigo, wheat, furs, whale oil, horses, and a few manufactured goods including wooden barrels, pig iron, and ship masts. British “Navigation Acts” dating to the 17th century regulated several of these products quite strictly (for example, on grounds of naval need the colonies weren’t allowed to ship timber anywhere but Britain) but don’t seem to always been very energetically enforced in other areas. The Declaration’s two trade grievances, relating to events of 1773 and 1774, are as follows:

(1) “Imposing taxes without our Consent”:  Parliamentary laws in the 1760s imposing a series of taxes — first document-stamping, then imported molasses, paper, glass, sugar, and tea — opened up the taxation-without-representation argument. The Tea Party event (December 16, 1773) was the last phase in this dispute, and adds vivid global-economy color to its more abstract intellectual and constitutional core. To recap:  about three dozen “Sons of Liberty” raided three Nantucket-owned ships chartered by the British East India Company, which then administered Britain’s relatively new Asian empire (concentrated in present-day Bangladesh and the Calcutta hinterlands along with southern India and Bombay but quickly getting bigger) and handled China trade. The actual tea thrown into the harbor, collected in 342 wooden chests weighing about 125 kilos each, had all been purchased in Guangzhou in 1771. It included 75 chests of green tea, 240 of low-priced bohea, 15 of upper-class congou, and 10 of elite Fujian souchong. Together it weighed 46 tons, or about an eighth of the year’s British 370 tons of tea sales to the colonies.

The grievance prompting this event was a 3 pence-per-pound tea tax, kept in effect since 1768 though the other objectionable taxes had been withdrawn in 1770. In passing the May 1773 “Tea Act,” Parliament’s main ‘policy’ goal was to bail out the East India Company, which had nearly bankrupted itself during the conquest of Bengal. The Company had originally purchased the tea intending to auction it off in London, but found itself stuck with more than it could sell during an economic downturn. (Having sat in warehouses for two years, it might have gotten a bit moldy.)  In more ideological terms Parliament wanted to (a) enforce Navigation Act regulations barring colonists from buying tea from other sources, amid probably exaggerated claims that as much as 85% of colonial tea came tax-free from the Netherlands via colonial “smugglers”, and (b) insist once again on the very grating point about Parliamentary rights to tax the colonies without their approval.  Bostonians weren’t alone in their annoyance: Philadelphians boycotted a similar East India Company tea ship in the same month (the captain left without a fight), and New Yorkers had planned to do the same, but their tea ship got blown off course in a storm and wound up in Antigua. The last tea ship, sent to Charleston, off-loaded the tea but couldn’t sell it.

(2) “Cutting off our Trade with all parts of the world”: Parliament learned of the Tea Party in late January of 1774 — the trans-Atlantic voyage took about a month — and responded in March with five new laws collectively called the “Coercive Acts.” The first of these, the “Boston Port Act,” banned shipping from Boston with the exception of ships delivering food and fuel. The loss of 800 or more ship visits and nearly a million pounds worth of exports, and the presumed intention to wreck the Massachusetts economy as retaliation for the Tea Party, likely discredited whatever pro-U.K. sentiment remained, even apart from the four other laws. (Two of them involving “quartering” soldiers at local expense, the other two reducing local government and judicial rights. These points are noted in grievances #11, 14, 21, and 22.)

Massachusetts Bay diplomats in turn requested a sympathy boycott of trade with Britain from the other 12 colonies. The Continental Congress, meeting in September, agreed with an exception for rice exports. By 1775 imports had dropped from £2.59 million to £0.2 million, and most of this seems to represent flows of weapons to the British garrison in Boston. The export boycott program worked less quickly, but effectively enough that almost all trade had ceased by the time the Continental Congress reconvened in June of 1776.

PPI wishes you a happy, if slightly belated, Fourth.

* By way of context, this 845 vessel-call total compares very favorably to the Department of Transportation’s report of 779 cargo vessel arrivals in Boston Harbor in 2020. Cruises, non-existent in the 1770s, add another 115 or so, and two or three fishery vessels arrive daily, so a combined total is likely around 1,500.

 

 

FURTHER READING:

The National Archives’ official Declaration text.

The Massachusetts Historical Society’s Tea Party recap.

Colonial data on demographics, maritime economy, import/export, the 18th-century slave trade, and other topics from the Census Almanac of Statistical Abstracts.

… and the Department of Transportation’s Boston Harbor cargo snapshot.

From the World Green Tea Association in Japan, a concise piece on the British East India Company and the tea trade.

 

ABOUT ED

Ed Gresser is Vice President and Director for Trade and Global Markets at PPI.

Ed returns to PPI after working for the think tank from 2001-2011. He most recently served as the Assistant U.S. Trade Representative for Trade Policy and Economics at the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR). In this position, he led USTR’s economic research unit from 2015-2021, and chaired the 21-agency Trade Policy Staff Committee.

Ed began his career on Capitol Hill before serving USTR as Policy Advisor to USTR Charlene Barshefsky from 1998 to 2001. He then led PPI’s Trade and Global Markets Project from 2001 to 2011. After PPI, he co-founded and directed the independent think tank Progressive Economy until rejoining USTR in 2015. In 2013, the Washington International Trade Association presented him with its Lighthouse Award, awarded annually to an individual or group for significant contributions to trade policy.

Ed is the author of Freedom from Want: American Liberalism and the Global Economy (2007).  He has published in a variety of journals and newspapers, and his research has been cited by leading academics and international organizations including the WTO, World Bank, and International Monetary Fund. He is a graduate of Stanford University and holds a Master’s Degree in International Affairs from Columbia Universities and a certificate from the Averell Harriman Institute for Advanced Study of the Soviet Union.

Read the full email and sign up for the Trade Fact of the Week

Marshall for NYDN: Colleges without affirmative action: What the schools must do now

By Will Marshall

Once again, the U.S. Supreme Court has brushed aside its own precedents to achieve a long-sought conservative goal — banning race-conscious college admissions. Unlike last year’s inflammatory decision overturning abortion rights, however, this ruling is likely to be popular.

Americans have been leery of race, ethnic and gender preferences since the Nixon administration first introduced them in 1969. According to a recent YouGov poll, two-thirds of the public say colleges shouldn’t factor race into their admissions decisions. Majorities of whites, Hispanics and women take that view, as does a plurality of Blacks, Democrats and liberals.

But polls don’t quite settle the issue. Neither will the court’s ruling that the University of North Carolina violated the 14th Amendment’s “equal protection” clause and Harvard violated the 1964 Civil Rights Act by using race as one of several factors in deciding which students to admit.

The court’s ruling only applies to affirmative action in college admissions. Programs that put a thumb on the scale for women and minorities seeking jobs as cops or firefighters, in competition for government contracts and radio licenses, and for private sector jobs are pervasive — and remain controversial.

Keep reading in the New York Daily News.

PPI Urges Dems to Pursue More Responsible Higher Ed Policy After SCOTUS Cancels Debt Cancellation

Ben Ritz, Director of the Progressive Policy Institute’s Center for Funding America’s Future, released the following statement in reaction to the Supreme Court’s decision to strike down the Biden administration’s attempt to unilaterally cancel up to $20,000 per borrower:

“The Supreme Court has officially ruled what we have known for some time now: U.S. presidents have no constitutional authority to unilaterally spend hundreds of billions of taxpayer dollars without Congressional approval. The Court’s decision comes after bipartisan majorities in both the Republican-controlled House and Democrat-controlled Senate voted to overturn the president’s attempt to unilaterally cancel over $400 billion of student debt.

“The message to the president from his co-equal branches of government couldn’t be clearer: it is time to move on from this misguided effort. Even if the president’s action were constitutional, there is no sound policy justification for asking Americans who don’t get the benefits of a college education to pay for the debts of those who do.

“We hope the White House will work with Congress on comprehensive solutions to ensure pathways to well-paying jobs are affordable and accessible for all. That means making real reforms to curtail the skyrocketing cost of college rather than using taxpayer funds to paper over the problem, expanding skills-based training options for non-degree students, and offering limited debt relief targeted only toward those most in need.”

PPI recently published a data-driven report on why the far left’s obsession with canceling student debt is deeply misguided and worsens the “diploma divide” in America.

PPI’s Center for Funding America’s Future works to promote a fiscally responsible public investment agenda that fosters robust and inclusive economic growth. It tackles issues of public finance in the United States and offers innovative proposals to strengthen public investments in the foundation of our economy, modernize health and retirement programs to reflect an aging society, and transform our tax code to reward work over wealth.

The Progressive Policy Institute (PPI) is a catalyst for policy innovation and political reform based in Washington, D.C., with offices in Brussels, Berlin and the United Kingdom. Its mission is to create radically pragmatic ideas for moving America beyond ideological and partisan deadlock. Learn more about PPI by visiting progressivepolicy.org.

Follow the Progressive Policy Institute.

Find an expert at PPI.

###

Media Contact: Amelia Fox – afox@ppionline.org

Marshall for The Hill: Red states take aim at public schools

By Will Marshall

The states, said Supreme Court Justice Louis Brandeis, are America’s “laboratories of democracy.” Today’s red-state Republicans see them differently — as staging grounds for cultural revolution.

Despite polls showing that most Americans favor legal abortion, 15 Republican-controlled states have passed laws depriving women of their reproductive rights. They are also targeting the nation’s public schools.

So far this year, 10 red states have enacted laws expanding school vouchers and similar subsidies to private schools. Arizona, Iowa, Utah, Oklahoma and Florida have gone farther, passing “universal voucher” bills that allow even the wealthiest families to collect public dollars for private schooling.

Republican support for vouchers isn’t new, of course. In the past, however, conservatives at least pretended to be concerned about low-income and minority parents whose children are trapped in bad urban schools. Now it’s clear their idea of “school choice” is to give all U.S. families with children financial incentives to exit public schools.

Read more in The Hill.

PPI Calls Out FTC For Turning Their Backs On Consumers

Malena Dailey, Technology Policy Analyst at the Progressive Policy Institute (PPI), released the following statement in response to the Federal Trade Commission’s reported intent to file a new lawsuit targeting supposed anticompetitive practices by the Amazon marketplace.

“In yet another suit against Amazon, the FTC continues to take an anti-tech, anti-innovation approach to antitrust that ignores the complexities of the expansive retail market in which the company operates.

“The FTC has abandoned the principle of prioritizing the good of consumers, instead attacking market leaders despite no clear demonstration of anticompetitive practices. Antitrust law must be enforced for the benefit of the consumer, not to devalue popular services.

“It is especially disheartening to see repeated efforts by the FTC to undermine such a fruitful sector of the American economy. The retail/ecommerce sector has contributed 1.4 million full-time-equivalent jobs to the U.S. labor market since 2014 and, according to estimates from PPI, Amazon invested $46.7 billion in the United States in 2021.”

The Progressive Policy Institute (PPI) is a catalyst for policy innovation and political reform based in Washington, D.C., with offices in Brussels, Berlin and the United Kingdom. Its mission is to create radically pragmatic ideas for moving America beyond ideological and partisan deadlock. Learn more about PPI by visiting progressivepolicy.org.

Follow the Progressive Policy Institute.

Find an expert at PPI.

###

Media Contact: Amelia Fox – afox@ppionline.org

Child Payments and a VAT Are Fairer than the So-Called “Fair Tax”

INTRODUCTION

Earlier this year, 31 House Republicans released a proposal to replace virtually all federal taxes with a 30% national sales tax. As other analysts have noted, a sales tax would be easy for companies to dodge and difficult for the government to enforce — meaning that to avoid revenue losses, the proposal would require a significantly higher tax rate, possibly as high as 60%.

The bill has also been criticized for being regressive. In tax terminology, a tax is “regressive” if it takes a higher share of income from the poor than from the rich; “flat” or “proportional” if it takes the same share of income from everybody; and “progressive” if it takes a higher share from the rich than from the poor.

The Republicans’ overall bill is certainly regressive and should be rejected on that account. But its core idea — taxing consumption rather than income — is not inherently regressive if properly designed. Much public commentary has mistakenly concluded that a national sales tax would fall predominantly on low-income Americans. But as this analysis demonstrates, taxes on spending fall on everyone roughly equally, and certain elements of the Fair Tax — such as its universal child payments — are actually progressive. While the Fair Tax ought to be rejected due to its regressive tax cuts and poor enforceability, two elements of it are worth keeping: its flat per-child cash payments and its emphasis on taxing spending rather than saving.

Read the full report.

PHOTO RELEASE: PPI Highlights Extensive Job Growth Created by App Economy in UK, France, and Germany

2023 marks the 15th anniversary of the creation of the App Economy, which has played a significant role in Europe’s economic growth. The Progressive Policy Institute (PPI) recently released a new series of reports from Dr. Michael Mandel, Vice President and Chief Economist, and Jordan Shapiro, Director of PPI’s Innovation Frontier Project, that outline new job growth estimates created by the App Economy in the United Kingdom, France, and Germany, as well as how the App Economy has provided pathways into the digital workforce for people who come from varied backgrounds.

“The App Economy has helped drive job growth in Europe for the past 15 years,” said Dr. Michael Mandel. “These positive trends seem to be continuing, and it’s important to continue to expand the digital workforce to reflect these new opportunities.”

PPI traveled to London, Paris, and Berlin to talk with federal lawmakers, local app developers, and tech policy experts about their experience working in the App Economy. In London, PPI highlighted new research that found the App Economy is responsible for 667,000 jobs in the United Kingdom as of May 2023, accounting for roughly 20% of the total net gain in U.K. jobs since 2008. Allison McGovern, MP, was the keynote speaker at the event and discussed the importance of creating economic opportunities for the United Kingdom.

In Paris, Prisca Thevenot, MP joined PPI and a panel of policy experts to discuss the digital skills needed to keep up with the growing jobs. PPI found the App Economy created 611,000 jobs in France as of May 2023, accounting for roughly 23% of the total net gain in French jobs since 2008.

PPI hosted an event in Berlin, highlighting new data that shows the App Economy is responsible for 633,000 jobs in Germany as of May 2023, accounting for roughly 13% of the total net gain in German jobs since 2008. Anke Domscheit-Berg, MP spoke on the importance of women in tech, and a panel of local app developers and senior software engineers shared their experiences with the app economy and the opportunities it has created.

As digital jobs continue to grow — like those in the App Economy — so does the demand for new digital skills. But supply for these skilled jobs continues to lag as workforce shortages persist across the tech industry. To address this issue, Taylor Maag, Director of Workforce Policy at the Progressive Policy Institute, released a new report titled “Closing the Digital Skills Gap: Unveiling Insights for Four Countries.” The report outlines the barriers confronting workers who want to acquire skills and examines four European countries’ efforts to address the digital skills divide.

Dr. Mandel released his first App Economy employment estimate for the United States in February 2012. Since then, PPI has become the leader in tracking App Economy job growth around the world, highlighting the economic importance of app-related jobs specifically and tech jobs more generally, along with the need to close the digital skill divide. Learn more about some of PPI’s recent work on the App Economy here.

The Progressive Policy Institute (PPI) is a catalyst for policy innovation and political reform based in Washington, D.C., with offices in Brussels, Berlin and the United Kingdom. Its mission is to create radically pragmatic ideas for moving America beyond ideological and partisan deadlock. Learn more about PPI by visiting progressivepolicy.org.

Follow the Progressive Policy Institute.

Find an expert at PPI.

###

Media Contact: Amelia Fox, afox@ppionline.org

PPI’s Trade Fact of the Week: The African American exporting community shrank by 34% in 2020

FACT: The African American exporting community shrank by 34% in 2020.

THE NUMBERS: African American-owned exporting businesses* –

2021:        Data not yet available
2020:                   1,001
2019:                   1,514
2017-20 avg.       1,380

*Census/BEA

 

WHAT THEY MEAN:

The Census’ annual counts of U.S. exporting businesses peak at 305,200 in 2014.  Then they drift downward, to 289,400 in 2019; then comes a sheer drop to 271,705 in COVID-stricken 2020.  The most recent report, for 2021, shows a modest rebound to 278,400 in 2021 as trade flows recovered. (The update for 2022 comes in January.) All the loss has come in the small-business sector. Census’ count of “large company” exporters — those with 500 or more employees — has actually risen a bit, from 6,968 in 2014 to 7,121 in 2021. The tally of very small exporters (those with fewer than 100 employees each) has meanwhile dropped by almost 10%, from 281,300 in 2014 to 255,300 in 2021.  For some reason, which is not clear in the data, this drop appears to have been steepest among African-American businesses.

This insight comes from a decade-old Census/BEA statistical collaboration to provide a very detailed look at the nature of smaller exporters. For 2012, and then the years 2017-2020, the two agencies identified the ownership of about two-thirds of U.S. exporters by race and ethnicity, gender, public vs. private ownership, and veteran status.  From there they proceed to find the countries where exporters find their customers; levels of employment and pay (including with comparison to non-exporters); and at least for 2017-2020 changes over time. The 2020 report, taken in the context of the 2017/2018/2019 editions shows the following about African American exporting firms:

(1) Total count, employment, and pay: Census and BEA found 1,001 African American-owned exporting businesses in 2020. As a group, they employed 49,045 workers, with a combined payroll of $1.96 billion — that is, an average of 49 people per business, at payrolls of $39,900 per worker. Their non-exporting peers, meanwhile, averaged 9 workers at payrolls of $33,191 per worker.

(2) Markets: The 1,001 firms earned about a tenth of their income from exports. (In precise terms, $1.1 billion out of $12 billion in total receipts). The European Union was their largest customer at $467 million, and bought from 358 of the companies. Canada was next at $115 million. The African American businesses were significantly more focused on African markets than other exporters: 13.8% of them, or 138 of the 1,001 in actual numbers, had African customers in 2020, as opposed to 8.4% of exporters with owners of other races and ethnicities. By country, over the most recent four years, Nigeria was their largest African market, followed by Ghana.

(3) Trends: Exporting communities of almost all ethnicities shrank in 2020, but the COVID shock seems to have hit African American exporting firms much harder than others. The 1,001 African American exporters in 2020 represents a drop of 27% from the average across 2017-2019, and 34% from the 1,514 in 2019. The count of African American exporters to Africa specifically fell especially steeply, dropping by half from 278 in 2019 to the 138 of 2020.  Meanwhile, the counts of African-American exporters to China fell from 117 to 87, to Mexico from 121 to 108, and to India from 53 to 28.  By comparison, BEA’s tallies of white-owned and Hispanic exporters were down about 7% from the 2017-2020 averages, and that of Asian-owned exporters by 3%. Native American exporters were an interesting exception, growing a bit in 2020 to 511 firms from an average of 452 across 2017-2019.

The reports do not indicate why, in the context of a general decline in trade during the COVID pandemic, the African American exporter group would have contracted more sharply than others. Nor do they say (since the most recent edition covers 2020*) whether their rebound in 2021 might have been stronger. Combined with Census’ total-exporter counts, though, they do seem to indicate that (a) U.S. small-business exporters have been struggling in general for nearly a decade, (b) the most recent drop hit African American exporters hardest, and (c) while government policies are never the only answer to a problem, the agencies charged with supporting SME exporters ought to be thinking about recovery options for this particular group, and probably more generally about whether their current approaches are enough.

*  Census will update its total-exporters in April 2024 (with a preliminary edition in January) with 2022 figures. This will presumably help show whether the modestly higher count of 2021 was the beginning of a nearly decade-long negative trend, or just a small bounce after an unusually bad 2020. The very detailed Census/BEA studies with race/ethnicity/gender/market data for 2021 (assuming the two agencies keep doing them) would likely come out in May, with information on whether African American export businesses rebounded from the COVID shock at par with, or faster than, or slower than, their peers.

 

 

FURTHER READING:

Census/BEA’s collaborative series on the nature of exporting businesses, with data on exporters by ownership, overseas markets, export dependence levels, employment, and payroll (2020 version; go to the main page for 2017, 2018, and 2019).

… and the annual report on exporters and importers by large/medium/small size, known as “Profile of Importing and Exporting Companies,” has totals, state-by-state figures, SMEs vs. large firms for 25 countries as well as the world, etc.

A recent report from PPI in collaboration with Prosperity Now looks at the barriers facing entrepreneurs of color, and the smaller, less profitable businesses that emerge as a result.

Government Resources:

The Minority Business Development Administration (2015) looks at diversity and success in American export firms.

The Commerce Department’s Global Diversity Exporter Initiative.

And the Small Business Administration’s export center.

World Perspective: 

The WTO looks at small businesses and trade.

And the Geneva-based International Trade Center’s SME competitiveness report.

 

ABOUT ED

Ed Gresser is Vice President and Director for Trade and Global Markets at PPI.

Ed returns to PPI after working for the think tank from 2001-2011. He most recently served as the Assistant U.S. Trade Representative for Trade Policy and Economics at the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR). In this position, he led USTR’s economic research unit from 2015-2021, and chaired the 21-agency Trade Policy Staff Committee.

Ed began his career on Capitol Hill before serving USTR as Policy Advisor to USTR Charlene Barshefsky from 1998 to 2001. He then led PPI’s Trade and Global Markets Project from 2001 to 2011. After PPI, he co-founded and directed the independent think tank Progressive Economy until rejoining USTR in 2015. In 2013, the Washington International Trade Association presented him with its Lighthouse Award, awarded annually to an individual or group for significant contributions to trade policy.

Ed is the author of Freedom from Want: American Liberalism and the Global Economy (2007).  He has published in a variety of journals and newspapers, and his research has been cited by leading academics and international organizations including the WTO, World Bank, and International Monetary Fund. He is a graduate of Stanford University and holds a Master’s Degree in International Affairs from Columbia Universities and a certificate from the Averell Harriman Institute for Advanced Study of the Soviet Union.

Read the full email and sign up for the Trade Fact of the Week

Jacoby for The Bulwark: Is the EU a Bureaucratic Nightmare or a Beacon of Freedom?

By Tamar Jacoby

The Ukrainian counteroffensive is drawing most of our attention right now. But there’s a second, more subtle, reorganizing of lines happening: the reimagining of Europe as a political community spurred by Ukraine’s impassioned, ideals-driven demands to join.

Very few Americans would use the word “inspiring” to describe the European Union. If we think about the EU at all, most of us share something like the dyspeptic view that prompted many Britons to want out: It’s a many-tentacled, meddlesome regulatory bureaucracy, useful in its way, perhaps, as an economic umbrella. But hardly inspirational.

But the EU looks different from Ukraine, where the idea of joining is freighted with hope and deeper meaning. In 2013, just as the Brexit debate began in London, pro-Russian Ukrainian president Victor Yanukovych rescinded the country’s application for EU membership, bringing nearly a million people into the streets of Kyiv, shouting “Ukraine is Europe.” Later that winter, more than 100 protesters died for the idea. Today, polls show upward of 90 percent of Ukrainians wanting to join.

Keep reading in The Bulwark.

The 15th Anniversary of the App Economy: 633,000 Jobs Created in Germany

2023 marks the 15th anniversary of the creation of the App Economy, which has played a significant role in Germany’s economic growth. Today, the Progressive Policy Institute (PPI) released a new report “The German App Economy: 2023” finding that the App Economy is responsible for 633,000 jobs in Germany as of May 2023. That accounts for roughly 13% of the total net gain in German jobs since 2008, when the Apple App Store and the Android Market, precursor to Google Play, first opened.

Report authors Michael Mandel, Vice President and Chief Economist, and Jordan Shapiro, Director of the Innovation Frontier Project, outline the new estimates of the job growth created by the App Economy, as well as how the App Economy has provided a route into the digital workforce for people who come from varied backgrounds.

“The App Economy has helped drive job growth in Germany for the past 15 years,” said Dr. Michael Mandel. “These positive trends seem to be continuing and it’s important to continue to expand the digital workforce to reflect these new opportunities.”

As digital jobs continue to grow, so does the demand for new digital skills. But supply for these skilled jobs continues to lag as workforce shortages persist across the tech industry. To address this issue, Taylor Maag, Director of Workforce Policy at the Progressive Policy Institute, released a new report titled Closing the Digital Skills Gap: Unveiling Insights for Four Countries. The report outlines the barriers confronting workers who want to acquire skills and examines four countries’ efforts to address the digital skill divide.

By the numbers:

●  633,000 jobs in the German App Economy, up 38% since 2019

●  Across Europe and the U.S., job requirements for digital skills have increased by 50%.

On Monday evening, PPI and its Mosaic Project will host a panel event with Das Progressive Zentrum and Women Who Code Berlin celebrating the 15th anniversary of the app economy and discussing these new reports.

Read and download the “German App Economy” report here and the “Closing the Digital Skills Gap” report here.

The German App Economy: 2023

INTRODUCTION

It’s no surprise that the German automobile industry has joined the App Economy. As of May 2023, Bertrandt, a leading supplier to the auto industry, was looking for an iOS and Android App Developer in Munich to help conceive and develop next-generation mobile apps and connected car apps. Meanwhile, MBition, a Berlin-based subsidiary of the Mercedes-Benz Group, was looking for a Test Engineer for Mobile Apps Testing to help deliver the next generation of in-car infotainment software.

But the Germany App Economy is not just about automobiles. Blinkist, an app that finds impactful books and distills them down to their key ideas, was looking for a Senior iOS Engineer and an Android developer in Berlin. From manufacturing to books to health and everything between, the German App Economy includes 633,000 jobs. That’s according to the Progressive Policy Institute’s latest estimate, and it’s up 38% from our pre-pandemic 2019 estimate.

None of these jobs existed 15 years ago, when Apple first opened the App Store on July 10, 2008, in the middle of the global financial crisis. Android Market (which later became Google Play) was announced by Google shortly after. These app stores created a new route through which software developers could write programs for smartphones. These mobile applications — called “apps” — could then be distributed to the rapidly growing number of smartphone users around the world.

The jobs generated by the app stores became an important part of the recovery from the financial crisis of 2008-2009, the subsequent economic expansion, and the response to the pandemic. More than that, app development and the app stores became a key route by which young people can develop tech skills and became an integral part of the digital economy.

This report describes some important aspects of the German App Economy. We also give some examples of App Economy jobs and skills development.

Read the report in English and in German

PPI Statement on the Anniversary of the Supreme Court Overturning Roe v. Wade

Erin Delaney, Director of Health Care Policy at the Progressive Policy Institute (PPI), released the following statement ahead of the one-year anniversary of the Supreme Court’s ruling on the Dobbs decision:

“Marking this tragic anniversary would not be necessary if not for the relentless mobilization of Republican extremists to curtail access to abortion and reproductive freedom.

“Forcing abortion bans against the wishes of the majority of Americans chips away at the foundation of democracy. As the Democratic Party continues to fight for federal protections, they must also turn their focus to state legislatures. Democrats must win back seats and expand their majorities by appealing to Independent and Republican voters who don’t want to see their personal liberties stripped away.

“PPI will continue to fight against far-right extremism, defend abortion rights and work to expand access to comprehensive reproductive health care for all Americans.”

The Progressive Policy Institute (PPI) is a catalyst for policy innovation and political reform based in Washington, D.C. Its mission is to create radically pragmatic ideas for moving America beyond ideological and partisan deadlock. Learn more about PPI by visiting progressivepolicy.org.

Follow the Progressive Policy Institute.

Find an expert at PPI.

###

Media Contact: Amelia Fox – afox@ppionline.org

Kahlenberg for The Wall Street Journal: Only Zoning Reform Can Solve America’s Housing Crisis

By Richard D. Kahlenberg

During the worst days of Covid, when supply chains broke down for automobile production, the cost of used cars skyrocketed in response to the limited supply. Over time, car manufacturing began to rebound, and prices moderated.

But when it comes to housing, there is a perpetual supply malfunction that inflates costs: local government zoning policies that expressly forbid developers from building homes where people want them. Ordinances routinely ban the construction of multifamily housing and require homes to be built on very large lots, artificially boosting the price of shelter—the single biggest expense for most Americans. These policies serve the narrow interests of wealthier incumbent homeowners, and they make life more difficult for young middle-class families starting out and low-income families who must make choices between paying rent and buying food or medicine.

People often think that the free market is what gives communities their dramatically different housing costs and demographic makeups, but that’s only part of the story. In a market economy, communities with strong public schools and safe streets will, of course, command higher property values. Homes in those areas could be made much more affordable, however, if localities made it possible to build more units on the available land.

Read more in The Wall Street Journal