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Analysis: EU Space Act Weakens Europe and the United States

  • December 3, 2025
  • Mary Guenther
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The European Commission has proposed a new regulation, the EU Space Act, to strengthen safety, resilience, governance, and competitiveness of space activities in the EU market. While the legislation primarily aims to enhance security, sustainability, and regulatory coherence, it also introduces new compliance requirements for firms operating in the European space economy. In its associated impact assessment the EU identifies a range of additional costs imposed on private space businesses across the EU value chain.

This report assesses the economic implications of these measures by exploring the downstream effects of these cost increases on prices, demand, investment activity, research and development, and capital expenditure.

We model these effects not only for individual product segments in the local European space market, but also for US and Chinese exports into the EU.

This report thus provides a first quantitative assessment of how the EU Space Act may affect the competitiveness, investment capacity, and long-term growth prospects of the European space sector, while also quantifying spillover impacts on international exporters to the EU.

The report proceeds in three stages:

  1. We estimate what effects the increases in prices will have on costs, prices, and demanded quantities.
  2. We then estimate how firms will respond to these shifts and what relative effects this will have on profits, investments, research and development spending, and capital expenditure.
  3. Lastly, we map the global space economy and investment activity, to see what the absolute effects in the relevant regions will be in the short- and long-term.

Read the full report.

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