Marshall for The Hill: On Immigration, Democrats Should Look to the Nordic Model

As Democrats and other center-left parties struggle to understand why working-class voters have turned against them, they reach readily for economic explanations. Yet most flinch from confronting another potent driver of blue-collar anger — uncontrolled immigration.

Of course, that’s partly an economic issue too. But it also illuminates the deep rift between elite and popular opinion on emotive questions of national sovereignty, cultural identity and democratic agency in deciding who can enter one’s country and become a citizen.

Stopping illegal immigration has been President Trump’s most reliable rallying cry. His call to wall America off from a flood of “criminal aliens” in 2016 helped him forge a strong bond with non-college voters. He went back to the immigration well in his 2024 comeback, when those voters again ranked the issue as a top concern, second only to high living costs.

Hostility to mass migration also is the rocket fuel propelling neo-nationalist populists in Europe. These include the far-right Alternative for Germany party, which recently made startling gains in state elections; France’s National Rally, now leading polls ahead of next year’s presidential election, and the United Kingdom’s fast-rising Reform Party.

Read more in The Hill.

Ainsley on The Spectator Podcast Coffee House Shots: Can Andy Keep Up With His Promises?

Andy Burnham delivered his first conference speech as Prime Minister in Liverpool yesterday, promising a sweeping expansion of public services and a fresh look at Brexit, to warm reviews from the hall. Patrick Gibbons is joined by Isabel Hardman and Claire Ainsley, Sir Keir Starmer’s former director of policy, to weigh up what was promised and how the party is taking it.

Kahlenberg for The Atlantic: How the Culture War Put Public Schools at Risk

For more than half a century after Milton Friedman proposed using taxpayer money to support students in private schools, the libertarian economist’s idea went almost nowhere. Republican presidents, including Ronald Reagan and George W. Bush, pushed vouchers—which help parents enroll their children in schools of their choice, including private and religious schools, at taxpayer expense—as a way to liberate poor children from failing big-city school districts. Those efforts led to voucher initiatives in a smattering of districts, such as Cleveland, Milwaukee, and Washington, D.C. But in state after state, support for public schools—which take all comers and have historically played a crucial role in cultivating students’ common identity as Americans—was just too broad-based and too strong to get voucher-like programs approved on a larger scale.

In the past several years, though, voucher advocates have switched strategies to take advantage of the country’s ever-deepening political polarization. In 2022, the Heritage Foundation urged the voucher movement “to embrace the culture war” as a way of promoting school choice. As evidence of progressive overreach, the conservative think tank has pointed to “racial essentialism for third graders” and decried the presence in some school libraries of Gender Queer, a graphic novel that “features a picture of oral sex being performed on a sex toy.”

Conservative leaders in many state capitals have emulated Heritage’s tactics, and the tactical shift has helped persuade lawmakers to expand the supply of school vouchers. Amy Sinclair, the president of the Iowa state Senate, told an interviewer in 2023 that during the coronavirus pandemic, “many parents became aware of anti-American and explicit materials in their child’s classrooms and began to demand choice.” “There’s no reason why any students should have a woke agenda pushed on them,” Texas Governor Greg Abbott declared a month later at a rally for private-school-choice legislation. The following year, his Arkansas counterpart, Sarah Huckabee Sanders, promoted her school-choice efforts by declaring on X, “We need kids learning math, reading, and science—not woke nonsense.” Since the pandemic, voucher-like programs have proliferated, and they are now open to even the richest students. In 2021, no states had universal programs supporting private education with public dollars; by 2025, 18 did. The number of students using publicly funded private-school-choice programs has tripled since the 2018–19 school year.

Read more in The Atlantic.

Marshall in Mainichi: Democratic Party’s Left-Wing Candidates May Struggle to Expand Support in Battleground States Ahead of Midterm Elections

As momentum grows for the left wing of the Democratic Party ahead of the U.S. midterm elections, Will Marshall, president of the Progressive Policy Institute, a think tank associated with moderate Democrats, discussed the party’s prospects in an interview with The Mainichi.

Given the current political environment, Democrats have a good chance of winning back the House of Representatives in this year’s midterm elections. However, I do not expect a landslide victory like the one seen in 2018 during President Trump’s first term.

Democratic and Republican voters have become increasingly entrenched, and there are fewer seats that can realistically change hands.

The biggest reason for the growth of left-wing groups such as the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) is frustration within the Democratic Party itself.

The party’s defeat in the 2024 presidential election was a profound shock. Faced with President Trump pushing laws and democratic norms to their limits, Democrats have felt powerless to stop him. As a result, left-wing populism has gained strength, and demands for maximum resistance and confrontation have grown louder.

Read the Mainichi interview here.

Read the English translation here. 

Steitz for MS Now: Trump’s New Defense for His Arch Is Absurd – And Dangerous

Let’s be clear: No matter what President Donald Trump may say, the national security of the United States does not require the construction of a massive arch in the middle of a traffic circle.

In a saner world, this would not need to be said. But on Friday, the president announced a new purpose for the 250-foot-tall tourist attraction he is seeking to build in the roundabout at the end of Washington’s Memorial Bridge. The arch will double as a “military complex,” Trump said, housing drones and ammo while providing a platform for snipers.

What possible threat aimed at Arlington National Cemetery — of all places — requires the construction of a marble-and-gold arch?

Throughout his second term, Trump has repeatedly invoked flimsy national security excuses to justify policy priorities both big and small. The arch might be the most ludicrous example yet: By claiming that this obvious vanity project is in fact a top Pentagon priority, the administration is clearly hoping it can convince U.S. District Judge Tanya Chutkan to reconsider her injunction pausing its construction.

My guess is that the argument will get laughed out of court. But that leaves a bigger issue: Judges have long given presidents vast leeway when it comes to national security decisions. Trump’s obvious abuse of that privilege has started forcing them to rethink that stance, which could make it harder to deal with a real emergency in the future.

Read more in MS Now.

Marshall for The Hill: The Center-Left Needs to Step Up and Show America What It Stands For

These are tough times for center-left parties, which increasingly find themselves squeezed into a shrinking middle ground by populist insurgents on the right and left. Few are rising to the challenge of offering restive voters an inspiring alternative to populist prescriptions for sweeping economic and political change.

That leaves most of the political passion and energy churning on the political extremes. MAGA and the Democratic Socialists of America certainly don’t lack bold ideas for change. Even if they do more harm than good, like President Trump’s inflationary tariffs, or unravel under scrutiny, like progressive proposals to abolish private health insurance and pay for a wide array of so-called free public goods by taxing wealth.

But even if they’re peddling snake oil, right- and left-wing populists have sharply defined beliefs and earn points for strong convictions. The center-left, in contrast, suffers from an identity crisis: Voters have only a fuzzy idea of what it stands for. Worse, working-class voters here and across Europe tend to lump center-left and center-right parties into an out-of-touch political establishment that ignores their struggles and governs on behalf of affluent elites and entrenched interests.

What should center-left parties like the Democrats offer voters? Moderation? Compromise and bipartisanship? Political civility? There’s something to be said for each of these, but they don’t add up to a compelling governing philosophy.

Nor is this a time for policy incrementalism. Working Americans are fed up with economic arrangements they see as deeply unfair, the fracturing of our national identity and civic unity and a sclerotic federal government’s inability to get big things done. They’re looking for structural remedies for structural problems.

Democrats aren’t condemned to vapid centrism. They only need to dust off their own rich legacy of bold and modernizing reform rooted in America’s liberal tradition.

Read more in The Hill

PPI in Vox: These Democrats won over working-class voters. Here’s their advice for candidates.

A new report explains which topics they emphasize — and which they don’t.

Throughout the Trump era, Democrats have wrung their hands about how they can win over working-class voters.

Why not ask the Democrats who’ve actually done it?

That’s what Robin Johnson — a political consultant based in rural Illinois, and a part-time political science professor at Monmouth College — set out to do after Donald Trump first won the presidency, asking Democratic state legislators who won tough districts how they pulled it off.

But after Trump’s shocking second win in 2024 revived concern about Democrats’ working-class woes, the time seemed ripe to ask legislators about how they’ve managed to cope with the challenges of a new decade.

So, working with the center-left Progressive Policy Institute and co-authors Stuart Malec and Jolie Libert, Johnson interviewed 28 state legislators who won in heavily working-class areas in the seven main presidential battleground states.

Read more in Vox

Democrats Who Win Battleground Districts Run as Problem Solvers, Not Manufactured Candidates, New PPI Report Finds

WASHINGTON (September 17, 2026) — Democrats who hold competitive, heavily working-class districts make up just 10% of state senators and 13% of state house members across the seven battleground states that decide presidential elections. Among 28 such lawmakers interviewed for a new report, 15 describe themselves as moderates, and none identify as democratic socialists. Twenty of them ran ahead of Kamala Harris in 2024. A report released today by the Progressive Policy Institute (PPI) argues those facts are connected, and that the Democrats actually winning working-class voters look nothing like the left-wing insurgents dominating national media coverage of the party’s direction.

The report, titled “Democrats Who Win the Working Class: Profiles From the Seven Battleground States” and authored by Robin Johnson, a political and governmental relations consultant and part-time lecturer in political science at Monmouth College, Stuart Malec, Vice President of Public Affairs at PPI, and Jolie Libert, Political Director at PPI, compiles as-told-to interviews with state legislators from Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Each won a district decided by less than 10 points where the share of adults without a bachelor’s degree exceeds the national average of 64.3%.

Five themes emerged across the interviews:

  • On what voters care about … legislators returned again and again to the cost of living. “It’s all about pocketbook, bread and butter issues; the wallet; how can I afford to take care of my family?” said Assemblymember Max Carter (D-Nev.), a former union electrician. State Rep. Bryan Cohn (D-N.C.), who beat a Republican incumbent in a rural district, put it more bluntly: “A solid economic platform will connect with them not just economically, but also emotionally. Everything else is vapor.”
  • On how the party talks … several warned that Democrats describe the economy in words their constituents never use. “The term ‘affordability,’ for example. Who talks like that?” said State Rep. Karen DeSanto (D-Wis.). “My voters say that they can’t afford gas. That’s how I speak.”
  • On cultural issues … the national brand among non-college voters is “busted,” in the words of State Sen. Jamie Wall (D-Wis.). Most of the legislators do not hide their own positions, and many ran explicitly on abortion rights, but they refuse to let culture war fights crowd out economic concerns, and several objected to litmus tests from national advocacy groups that leave swing-district lawmakers exposed.
  • On business … many cited relationships with local employers and chambers of commerce as central to their appeal, arguing there is daylight between being pro-business and being anti-worker.
  • On tactics … the lawmakers were nearly unanimous that door knocking matters most, with several stressing longer conversations over volume, and listening over pitching. “I still have a pair of bronze boots from my first race when I knocked on 6,000 doors and walked 600 miles,” said Assemblymember Carter.

The report also pushes back on the idea that winning working-class voters is a casting problem. The 28 legislators interviewed are small business owners, lawyers, veterans, ministers and one former professional clown. The authors conclude that authenticity comes from community ties rather than biography, a contrast they draw directly with Graham Platner, whose blue-collar image outpaced a résumé that included a prep school education and a famous architect grandfather.

These lawmakers ran on things voters could feel in a monthly bill. Nevada’s Assemblymember Carter spearheaded a wage theft crackdown signed by the state’s Republican governor. State Rep. Elaine Marzola (D-Nev.) cited votes to cap insulin at $35 and to force the state’s energy utility to return more than $63 million to overcharged customers. State Rep. Tangie Herring (D-Ga.) secured property tax relief for seniors. Michigan Democrats campaigned on repealing the state’s retirement tax, and the Wisconsin legislators interviewed all ran in 2024 on adopting Medicaid expansion.

PPI selected state legislators deliberately, arguing their perspective is absent from New York and Beltway-centric debates about how Democrats can win. The report contends that with smaller districts and less money for television, state lawmakers spend more time connecting with constituents face-to-face, making them the party’s best available read on what’s happening on the ground in places where its national brand is a liability.

Read and download the report here.

Founded in 1989, PPI is a catalyst for policy innovation and political reform based in Washington, D.C. Its mission is to create radically pragmatic ideas for moving America beyond ideological and partisan deadlock. Find an expert and learn more about PPI by visiting progressivepolicy.org. Follow us at @ppi.

###

Media Contact: Ian O’Keefe – iokeefe@ppionline.org

Democrats Who Win the Working Class: Profiles From the Seven Battleground States

Nick Miller is a Democrat who knows how to reach working-class voters. In 2022, he became the youngest candidate elected to Pennsylvania’s Senate in over a century by winning an Allentown-based district where more than three-quarters of adults lack a bachelor’s degree. This was no easy feat: Just two years later, the same district backed Donald Trump for president.

What was Miller’s secret?

“I ran as a pragmatic, commonsense candidate focused on results rather than ideology,” he says. “Independent voters play a critical role in our elections. And they consistently respond to leaders who are willing to work with anyone to get things done.”

If Democrats want to become competitive again outside the blue islands of major metro areas and college towns, their single most important task will be winning back the Americans without college degrees who have abandoned the party in droves during recent decades. This report brings together interviews with dozens of politicians who’ve already shown they can do just that: 28 state legislators from seven battleground states who, like Miller, have managed to prevail in competitive, heavily working-class districts. We asked them about the issues they focused on, how their voters view the national party, and what on-the-ground tactics they relied on to win.

While these lawmakers represented disparate corners of America, they were remarkably consistent in their message. Their working-class constituents, they said, are intensely focused on basic pocketbook concerns like the cost of groceries and health care, and many believe Democrats are too preoccupied by fights over cultural issues like LGBTQ rights and abortion — an assessment that dovetails with much of the polling that followed Kamala Harris’s loss in the 2024 election. To overcome the national party’s baggage, these lawmakers often campaign as practical problem solvers, rather than rigid partisans.

“Being a moderate formed the core of my strategy,” says Wisconsin State Sen. Kristin Alfheim, whose district centers the Fox Cities region. “People would ask which party I was from and my response was, ‘Should it matter?’ Getting past that first initial knee-jerk response was critical to getting into what matters for voters — kitchen table issues.”

The lawmakers who spoke with PPI could hardly be more different from the left-wing populists who’ve captivated the national media this summer. Insurgent candidates backed by the Democratic Socialists of America have won a handful of primaries in New York and Denver by knocking off more established opponents, while progressive favorite Graham Platner won Maine’s primary vote before dropping out over allegations of sexual assault. In the Midwest, left-wing favorite Abdul El-Sayed won a narrow victory in the Michigan primary.

All of these candidates style themselves as champions for the working class and promise a lavish array of free public goods and services to lower the cost of living. Ironically, however, their left-wing insurgency thus far has mainly unseated liberal and even progressive Democrats. The democratic socialists aim their messages mainly at white college liberals and professionals instead of the non-college voters Democrats need to win general elections against Republicans. In those races, they’ll likely be dogged by past calls to abolish police and prisons and return to open borders.

In most cases, their performance with actual working-class voters has been middling to poor. DSA candidates in New York fared best in higher-income tracts of their districts, for instance. El-Sayed ran up the score in college towns while losing less-educated parts of the state. Before he dropped out, polling by The New York Times showed Platner trailing incumbent Susan Collins by 20 points among Mainers without a college degree.

In contrast, the state and local lawmakers featured in this report don’t campaign as strident ideologues or radical insurgents. Most focus on working families’ everyday struggles to make ends meet and avoid elite preoccupations like anti-fossil fuel crusades and trans rights. Fifteen described themselves as “moderate,” while others identified as progressives or something else. None identified as democratic socialists. All won their seats by listening to working people and offering down-to-earth ways to help them solve their problems.

We chose to focus on state legislators for this report because their voices are often absent from the New York and Beltway-centric debates about how to win, despite their having a unique and important vantage point. Since their districts are smaller than Congress members’ and they have less money to run expensive TV ads come election season, state lawmakers often spend more time in face-to-face interactions with their constituents, making them an important ear on the ground in places where the party’s national brand can be a hindrance.

We selected politicians for interviews based on three criteria:

  • They won their most recent race.
  • Their district is competitive, defined as a margin of less than 10%.
  • The share of voters without a college degree in their district is higher than the national average of 64.3%. There are a variety of definitions of “working class,” but this one is most common and easiest to quantify.

There are not many Democrats who check these boxes, partly due to gerrymandering, but also because of the party’s general weakness with working-class voters. Democrats who win these districts comprise just 10% of State Senators in the seven battleground states and 13% of House members. Wisconsin and Nevada have the highest shares. Some of the districts are heavy on white working-class voters, while some are dominated by Black or Hispanic voters. The lessons from all of them should be relevant to Democrats, given how the party lost ground with non-college voters of all races in 2024.

These districts were also competitive in more than state legislative races. Margins in the 2024 presidential race were also less than 10% in all but one of the districts. Harris won 20 of the districts, but 20 of the featured legislators ran ahead of her.

Most of the as-told-to essays in this report were written based on live interviews with the legislators. Three of the lawmakers wrote their own essays based on questionnaires. They all offered their own unique insights, and some diverged from one another on some issues.

However, five themes emerged most strongly.

Read the full report.

Build Back Belief: France Update

RESEARCH SUMMARY

  • The National Rally in France continues to be in pole position for the next Presidential election in 2027 – whether led by Le Pen or Jordan Bardella.
  • While Le Pen is most known, Bardella has built up a reputation with voters as someone who broadens the National Rally’s appeal and has less baggage. They see him as fresh compared to Le Pen.
  • Swing voters who participated in the research were leaning towards the National Rally in the absence of a strong alternative from the centre and centre-left.
  • The voters were exercised about crime and the degradation of their localities, fearing criminal gangs and disrespect on the streets. They want to see a restoration of order, and their politicians focussed on a strong France – they see this as a zero sum game.
  • They feel there is little to lose from switching to the National Rally, despite their misgivings on economic policy and community cohesion.
  • Success for the centre/ centre left depends on offering a positive and strong alternative for these working-class voters that focusses on their priorities of local safety and patriotism / national strength.

PPI has been conducting research with voters around the world as part of its Project on Centre-Left Renewal, which aims to create a strong centre-left dialogue to fight against radical right-wing populism. Our report published in 2025, ‘Build Back Belief: how governments around the world lost trust in government and how to win it back,’ showed that centre-left parties need to win back significant numbers of the ‘working middle’ of society with examples from around the world. In June, PPI conducted focus groups of women and men in towns and cities in France, who are non-graduate swing voters currently moving from left to right. City voters were screened to have voted centre or centre left in 2026 – town voters were a mix.

Read the full update here.

Change Britain Build Back Belief: UK Update

INTRODUCTION

Across developed democracies, many feel an increasingly powerful sense of injustice that the economy and society no longer work for people like them, and that government is not on their side. This sentiment is fuelling support for right-wing national populists who promise easy solutions, yet, once in power, increase societal division and chaos.

PPI’s project on centre-left renewal began in 2023 to exchange ideas, strategies, and tactics for making centre-left parties more competitive and improve their governing performance. Successful strategies have all had a sharp focus on a change agenda for working-class voters — what we termed the “working middle” in our original research published in July 2025 as people who felt they were working harder and harder yet felt that ‘business as usual’ politics and economics wasn’t working for them, personified by strong candidates who displayed their conviction and ability to deliver for them.

Our research with working-class voters in the US, UK, Australia, Germany and France shows that they are crying out for change and for strong politicians who are willing to do what it takes to make that change happen. This report updates our original research with a deep dive into the UK, with polling and focus groups conducted in July 2026, just before Andy Burnham became Prime Minister to understand the hopes and fears of the voters who have been moving away from Labour since it was elected just two years ago.

We found that the frustration voters felt deeply before electing Labour had intensified, after PPI’s project on centre-left renewal began in 2023 to exchange ideas, strategies, and tactics for making centre-left parties more competitive and improve their governing performance. Successful strategies have all had a sharp focus on a change agenda for working-class voters — what we termed the “working middle” in our original research published in July 2025 as people who felt they were working harder and harder yet felt that ‘business as usual’ politics and economics wasn’t working for them, personified by strong candidates who displayed their conviction and ability to deliver for them. what they deemed a disappointing tenure by Keir Starmer’s new government. Many working-class voters who had given Labour their support in 2024 were planning to vote for other parties, from Reform UK, to the Greens. In this UK update, we outline what this means for the centre-left in the UK, and the lessons others around the world can draw as they seek to represent the change these voters are looking for.

Read the full report.

Marshall for The Hill: Don’t Let Socialists Sabotage a Democratic Comeback

The democratic socialist surge in primary contests around the country has Democratic realists on edge, but it’s a late summer’s night dream for bored political reporters and Republicans alarmed about a midterm blowout.

For the media, it’s an opportunity to trot out lazy cliches about the never-ending civil war between a hidebound Democratic establishment and “ascendant” young radicals armed with little but invincible self-righteousness.

For Republicans, it’s a welcome distraction from President Trump’s dopey tariffs and his serial bungling of inflation, immigration, revenge prosecutions, alliance diplomacy and war, all of which have driven his job approval into the low 30s.

But Democrats are dismayed: Just as they finally have Trump on the ropes, they face a new attack on their left flank. Democratic socialists have ousted liberal and progressive Democrats in deep blue cities like New York, Seattle, Philadelphia, and Denver.

Last week, they hailed Abdul El-Sayed’s squeaker in Michigan’s U.S. Senate primary as a breakthrough that proves left wing candidates can also prevail in statewide primaries. In this week’s Wisconsin Senate primary, however, David Crowley, a moderate, upset democratic socialist Francesca Hong, who managed to blow a 20-point lead. She was dogged by past social media posts calling for abolishing the police and cancelling Thanksgiving, which she sees as a symbol of American colonialism.

While El-Sayed is shrewd enough to deny he’s a socialist, his views seem closely aligned with the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA). In the November general election, he’ll have to explain to Michigan’s swing voters why abolishing Immigration and Customs Enforcement doesn’t mean a return to unrestricted immigration, why he deleted a post calling for racial reparations, and why he’s stumped with Hasan Piker, the twitch streamer who thinks America deserved 9-11 and who endorsed terrorism against Israel by Hamas, Hezbollah and the Houthis.

No wonder Republicans are cheering democratic socialist victories alongside Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and the DSA. They’d much rather face more left-wing opponents whose anti-American tropes and cultural radicalism repel working class voters.

Read more in The Hill

Wisconsin Democrats Give Their Party a Fighting Chance in November

WASHINGTON (August 12, 2026) — Today, Will Marshall, President of the Progressive Policy Institute (PPI), issued the following statement on Tuesday’s Wisconsin primary elections:

“David Crowley’s stunning upset of State Rep. Francesca Hong in yesterday’s Wisconsin Democratic primary contest for governor underscores the vulnerability of democratic socialists in general elections. Hong, dogged by past social media posts calling for abolishing police and canceling Thanksgiving, managed to blow a 20-point lead as Democrats staged an eleventh hour rally around Crowley, the pragmatic Milwaukee Executive endorsed by Wisconsin’s popular governor, Tony Evers.

“Following Abdul El-Sayed’s closer-than-expected victory in last week’s Michigan Democratic primary, the outcome showed again that far-left candidates are more popular with white college graduates than with working class voters. That’s a big problem in crucial swing states like Michigan and Wisconsin, where non-college voters hold the political balance of power.

“Pragmatic liberals and moderates are more representative of the Democratic Party’s center of gravity and thus make stronger general election candidates. The democratic socialist strategy of pushing Democrats farther left, especially on cultural issues like immigration, crime and gender, can only compound their difficulty in reaching working Americans, who already see the party as too liberal.

“The left did score a victory in Minnesota, where Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan won the Democratic nomination for Senate over moderate Rep. Angie Craig. But it’s worth distinguishing that Flanagan is a rank-and-file progressive rather than a member of the Democratic Socialists of America. While it still wasn’t the outcome pragmatic Democrats preferred, Minnesota is a more reliably blue state traumatized by President Trump’s unleashing of ICE on civilian protesters. Nominating far-left candidates is a riskier bet in the other midwestern battleground states.”

Founded in 1989, PPI is a catalyst for policy innovation and political reform based in Washington, D.C. Its mission is to create radically pragmatic ideas for moving America beyond ideological and partisan deadlock. Find an expert and learn more about PPI by visiting progressivepolicy.org. Follow us at @ppi.

###

Media Contact: Ian O’Keefe – iokeefe@ppionline.org

Michigan Democrats Boost Republican Midterm Hopes

WASHINGTON (August 5, 2026) — Today, Will Marshall, President of the Progressive Policy Institute (PPI), issued the following statement on Tuesday’s Michigan primary elections:

“Abdul El-Sayed’s narrower-than-expected victory in yesterday’s Michigan Democratic primary contest for U.S. Senate highlights the risks posed by left-wing ideologues to the party’s midterm election prospects. It likely will compound the party’s already difficult challenge of winning back the Senate this fall.

“At this writing, a complete demographic breakdown of the vote isn’t available. But a look at the electoral map suggests that El-Sayed — like other far-left and democratic socialist candidates that recently won primaries in blue cities — did much better among white college graduates than working-class voters, white and non-white.

“For example, Rep. Haley Stevens, a solidly liberal Democrat with strong union backing, carried six counties that combine large working-class and Black populations. She carried Oakland County (51.9%), Macomb County (51.8%), and Saginaw County (56.5%). She also won Black precincts in Detroit and other parts of the state. El Sayed’s poor showing among these rank-and-file Democrats could make him a weaker general election opponent against Republican Rep. Mike Rogers.

“In recent elections, Michigan Democrats have held a U.S. Senate seat and the governorship by building a broad coalition of persuadable voters, not just ‘energized’ young activists. Gov. Gretchen Whitmer won two terms running as a tough-minded pragmatist. Sen. Elissa Slotkin held her Senate seat in 2024 by a third of a point, in a state where enough voters split their tickets between Trump and Slotkin to decide the race. That’s the model Michigan Democrats have used to stave off Trumpism in a critical battleground state.

“It’s possible that Trump’s cratering popularity and the unraveling of his 2024 coalition will generate a Blue Wave in November big enough to propel even left-wing candidates with intense but narrow support into office.

“But the socialist surge is more likely to prove a burden than a benefit to Democrats trying to win working-class voters in competitive races. It’s another reason why Democrats should move to ranked choice voting, which requires primary candidates to amass a majority to win the party’s nomination.

“Requiring a majority to win might also have changed the outcome of the two House primaries in Michigan, which were also won by democratic socialists. William Lawrence, co-founder of the Sunrise Movement, which cooked up the now moribund Green New Deal, defeated more moderate Democrats for their party’s nomination for the 7th Congressional District, a swing district that includes Lansing. He faces incumbent Tom Barrett.

“In the 13th District, Rep. Shri Thanedar, another Democratic incumbent to face a serious primary challenge from the left, lost to Donavan McKinney, a democratic socialist.

“If Democrats want to win, they should stop allowing ideologically polarizing candidates to win the party’s nomination on the basis of narrow pluralities.”

Founded in 1989, PPI is a catalyst for policy innovation and political reform based in Washington, D.C. Its mission is to create radically pragmatic ideas for moving America beyond ideological and partisan deadlock. Find an expert and learn more about PPI by visiting progressivepolicy.org. Follow us at @ppi.

###

Media Contact: Ian O’Keefe – iokeefe@ppionline.org

Marshall for The Hill: Don’t Panic over Data Centers — Support a Better Path Forward

Less than a year ago, local and state leaders were bragging about the jobs and tax revenue that data centers had brought to their communities. Now, amid a public backlash, many are running from them like scalded dogs.

In January, a Politico poll found that Americans were more receptive than opposed to having data centers built nearby. Six months later, a new survey shows the reverse: 41 percent oppose a data center near them, up from 28 percent in January, while support dropped from 37 to 24 percent.

Data center jitters run especially deep among Democrats. But skepticism also has risen among President Trump’s 2024 voters, who are now split on the issue despite his hyperbolic endorsement of data centers as “big, strong, bold … Money Machines.”

If these growing public qualms lead to a more deliberate, community-building approach to data centers, rather than today’s frenzied digital goldrush, so much the better. But if instead they trigger a panicky rush to freeze all new construction, they will weaken U.S. economic innovation and growth and pass the baton of AI leadership to China.

The sudden cratering of public support for data centers stems from a confluence of popular anxieties. Most important are worries about spiking energy and water bills in host communities and the incipient fear that AI robots might be able to do our jobs better than we can.

Read more in The Hill