Obsolete Laws Impede a Clean Energy Future: The Case Against the Jones Act

The Jones Act is costing Americans billions in higher energy costs and delaying the deployment of green energy sources. To address these costs, in addition to the energy supply and environmental consequences of the status quo, lawmakers must reassess the utility of the act.

The Merchant Marine Act of 1920 — commonly called the Jones Act — is an obscure shipping law that requires vessels transporting goods between two U.S. ports be American-made, manned, and flagged. Originally motivated by principles of national security and protectionism, the law was passed to complement a wartime reinvigoration of domestic shipbuilding that saw the U.S. construct one of the most dominant merchant fleets in the world. A century later, however, the Jones Act now presents a major hurdle for domestic offshore energy projects and fuel transportation, resulting in higher energy prices for Americans and slower deployment of cleaner energy sources.

The U.S. offshore wind industry, already plagued by high interest rates, permitting delays, shoddy port infrastructure, supply chain issues, and recent high-profile turbine breakdowns, is desperately searching for ways to improve project costs and expediency. Building offshore wind turbines requires shipping enormous individual components to be assembled on-site, miles from land. In most countries, this is done using specialized vessels called wind turbine installation vessels (WTIVs). With no Jones Act-compliant WTIVs of its own, the U.S. employs smaller compliant vessels instead, which take significantly more trips to and from project sites, raising project costs and emissions. Currently, the U.S. only has one WTIV under construction — Dominion’s Charybdis — which has taken both years and hundreds of millions of dollars to build. Building and deploying Jones Act-compliant WTIVs is far more costly than simply enlisting foreign-owned ones, and that cost is ultimately reflected in project price tags. President Biden’s Bipartisan Infrastructure Law thankfully includes funding for port upgrades which will alleviate some of the infrastructure bottlenecks, but Jones Act reform, in addition to long overdue permitting reform, is essential for scaling offshore wind to meet our energy goals.

The act also has economic and climate implications for LNG markets. The U.S. is a major producer of natural gas, but domestic pipeline infrastructure–particularly in New England–is inadequate to satisfy consumer demand and balance the grid, and attempts to spur new projects are thwarted by neighboring states. This creates a local reliance on shipped LNG to bridge the gap, but foreign-owned vessels bringing gas from the Gulf of Mexico cannot sail to a second U.S. port, necessitating imports from abroad and slowing supply chains in a region where harsh winters make adequate seasonal energy supplies critical. And given New England’s poor electricity and gas pipeline infrastructure, many households there burn extra-dirty fuel oil for home heating that emits more greenhouse gas instead.

Because the U.S. does not possess any of its own Jones Act-compliant LNG tankers, shipped LNG that the Northeast does receive comes from Trinidad and Tobago and other distant countries. These import inefficiencies widen the rift between supply and demand, further inflating already disproportionately-high energy prices for New Englanders. With no foreseeable plans to revamp domestic shipbuilding to produce compliant LNG tankers, the law leaves regions like New England vulnerable to supply chain disruptions and stuck with an expensive and emissions-intensive energy system. These risks, in tandem with energy security concerns spurred by the war in Ukraine, motivated the New England governors to jointly request that the Department of Energy suspend Jones Act restrictions in 2022. A group of New England senators also wrote to DOE about inflated energy prices, citing increased U.S. exports as the cause of supply shortages. In reality, the Jones Act’s shipping rules and disjointed pipeline infrastructure limit supply mobility and leave consumers in the Northeast cut off from the rest of the country’s gas market, beholden instead to exports from abroad and the volatile international LNG trade.

Source: Esri ArcGIS

Energy transportation challenges imposed by the Jones Act also have heightened consequences for Americans outside the mainland. Geographically isolated places such as Alaska, Hawaii, and Puerto Rico are subjected to shipping constraints, cost burdens, and emergency response threats. In fact, the White House had to waive Jones Act requirements for LNG shipments to Puerto Rico in 2022 to enable the territory to recover from devastating hurricanes. And aside from LNG, Jones Act shipping restrictions on petroleum and oil products force Americans to forfeit roughly $769 million in unrealized consumer surplus annually — a conservative estimation which excludes areas with further inflated prices like Alaska, Hawaii, and Puerto Rico.

Ultimately, lawmakers must reassess the utility of the Jones Act. A protectionist law passed in the spirit of national security is no longer doing its job when it poses looming energy and economic concerns, and even stifles the industry it was designed to protect. Its limitations seem especially frivolous considering that the U.S. has no LNG carrier fleet of its own–and a reported 30-year timeline for building one–while countries such as South Korea are already building them more cheaply and efficiently. The lack of compliant LNG and wind turbine installation vessels, in tandem with the eye-popping costs and timelines for building them domestically, make foreign-flagged alternatives a sensible option if we could only use them.

The obvious solution is to repeal the Jones Act, however the political blowback from powerful proponents of domestic industry could be significant — despite the billions of dollars in potential economic output that would follow. At minimum, specific carve-outs or exemptions must be made for foreign specialized energy carriers to promote energy and economic security, particularly in at-risk regions. A large-scale subsidized campaign of domestic shipbuilding could offer another option in theory, but in practice the combination of high costs, fiscal and political uncertainty, existing difficulties with subsidized Navy shipbuilding, and the current availability of non-U.S. ships all strongly suggest that allowing foreign specialized energy vessels to travel between U.S. ports is the best course of action, at least in the short-term.

Until we adopt such reforms, the harmful effects of the outdated Jones Act are a stark reminder that ensuring security and reliability of clean energy–now and in the future–requires a regulatory regime that is not anchored to the past.

Evans for The Hill: Record-breaking wildfires at home are endangering US troops abroad

By Alec Evans and Evan Cooper

The U.S. military is being tested by the many fires it is trying to put out abroad. These crises pull assets from the country’s network of hundreds of foreign bases, more than 170,000 troops deployed internationally and mutual defense treaties with upwards of 50 countries.

But amid these global missions, the military is increasingly burdened by its responsibility for extinguishing literal fires across the U.S.

The U.S. armed forces have engaged in domestic wildfire suppression for over a century, but as climate change and historical forestry malpractices increase the frequency and intensity of wildfires, the military’s role in fire response has ballooned.

Keep reading in The Hill.

PPI Applauds Manchin-Barrasso’s Energy Permitting Reform Act of 2024

Washington, D.C. — Today, Elan Sykes, Director of PPI’s Energy and Climate Solutions Initiative, issued the following statement praising the introduction of new permitting reform legislation led by Senators Joe Manchin (I-W.Va.) and John Barrasso (R-Wyo.):

“The Energy Permitting Reform Act of 2024 is a major step forward in the necessary effort to speed up environmental reviews, federal permits, and electric transmission development. PPI thanks Senators Manchin and Barrasso for their efforts and calls upon Democrats to uphold the spirit of the 2022 Schumer-Manchin agreement to implement the Inflation Reduction Act alongside the permitting reforms needed to harness the IRA’s clean energy programs to the fullest.

“The clean energy transition requires the manufacture and installation of millions of new machines for generating, moving, and using clean power — without passing these reforms, America will not be able to deploy sufficient clean technology fast enough. While the bill also increases the frequency of oil, gas, and coal leasing, the reforms to renewable energy and storage permitting (especially for geothermal), the use of public lands, expansion of Categorical Exclusions, and especially changes to planning, paying, and permitting for new lines and technologies on the electricity grid will far outweigh any increases in fossil fuel production while keeping consumer costs low and maintaining public support for the energy transition.

“The same is true for the changes to LNG export permits, which should aid our allies and trading partners in transitioning from coal to gas while benefiting from the Biden administration’s methane mitigation policies. PPI also calls on state and local governments to match these reforms with parallel changes to their own planning and permitting authorities to ensure that all levels of government work together to unleash clean energy growth.”

 

The Progressive Policy Institute (PPI) is a catalyst for policy innovation and political reform based in Washington, D.C. Its mission is to create radically pragmatic ideas for moving America beyond ideological and partisan deadlock. Learn more about PPI by visiting progressivepolicy.orgFind an expert at PPI and follow us on Twitter.

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Media Contact: Ian O’Keefe — iokeefe@ppionline.org

Paying for Progress: A Blueprint to Cut Costs, Boost Growth, and Expand American Opportunity

The next administration must confront the consequences that the American people are finally facing from more than two decades of fiscal mismanagement in Washington. Annual deficits in excess of $2 trillion during a time when the unemployment rate hovers near a historically low 4% have put upward pressure on prices and strained family budgets. Annual interest payments on the national debt, now the highest they’ve ever been in history, are crowding out public investments into our collective future, which have fallen near historic lows. Working families face a future with lower incomes and diminished opportunities if we continue on our current path.

The Progressive Policy Institute (PPI) believes that the best way to promote opportunity for all Americans and tackle the nation’s many problems is to reorient our public budgets away from subsidizing short-term consumption and towards investments that lay the foundation for long-term economic abundance. Rather than eviscerating government in the name of fiscal probity, as many on the right seek to do, our “Paying for Progress” Blueprint offers a visionary framework for a fairer and more prosperous society.

Our blueprint would raise enough revenue to fund our government through a tax code that is simpler, more progressive, and more pro-growth than current policy. We offer innovative ideas to modernize our nation’s health-care and retirement programs so they better reflect the needs of our aging population. We would invest in the engines of American innovation and expand access to affordable housing, education, and child care to cut the cost of living for working families. And we propose changes to rationalize federal programs and institutions so that our government spends smarter rather than merely spending more.

Many of these transformative policies are politically popular — the kind of bold, aspirational ideas a presidential candidate could build a campaign around — while others are more controversial because they would require some sacrifice from politically influential constituencies. But the reality is that both kinds of policies must be on the table, because public programs can only work if the vast majority of Americans that benefit from them are willing to contribute to them. Unlike many on the left, we recognize that progressive policies must be fiscally sound and grounded in economic pragmatism to make government work for working Americans now and in the future.

If fully enacted during the first year of the next president’s administration, the recommendations in this report would put the federal budget on a path to balance within 20 years. But we do not see actually balancing the budget as a necessary end. Rather, PPI seeks to put the budget on a healthy trajectory so that future policymakers have the fiscal freedom to address emergencies and other unforeseen needs. Moreover, because PPI’s blueprint meets such an ambitious fiscal target, we ensure that adopting even half of our recommended savings would be enough to stabilize the debt as a percent of GDP. Thus, our proposals to cut costs, boost growth, and expand American opportunity will remain a strong menu of options for policymakers to draw upon for years to come, even if they are unlikely to be enacted in their entirety any time soon.

The roughly six dozen federal policy recommendations in this report are organized into 12 overarching priorities:

I. Replace Taxes on Work with Taxes on Consumption and Unearned Income
II. Make the Individual Income Tax Code Simpler and More Progressive
III. Reform the Business Tax Code to Promote Growth and International Competitiveness
IV. Secure America’s Global Leadership
V. Strengthen Social Security’s Intergenerational Compact
VI. Modernize Medicare
VII. Cut Health-Care Costs and Improve Outcomes
VIII. Support Working Families and Economic Opportunity
IX. Make Housing Affordable for All
X. Rationalize Safety-Net Programs
XI. Improve Public Administration
XII. Manage Public Debt Responsibly

Read the full Blueprint. 

Read the Summary of Recommendations.

Read the PPI press release.

See how PPI’s Blueprint compares to six alternatives. 

Media Mentions:

PPI Lauds Department of Energy’s East Coast Geothermal Pilot Program

WASHINGTON – Today, Elan Sykes, Director of Energy and Climate Policy, and Alec Evans, Energy Policy Fellow at the Progressive Policy Institute, released the following statement regarding the U.S. Department of Energy’s second-round funding opportunity for enhanced geothermal systems (EGS) demonstrations under President Biden’s Bipartisan Infrastructure Law.

“The Progressive Policy Institute applauds the Department of Energy (DOE) for providing funds from the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law for East Coast enhanced geothermal energy pilot projects. The DOE’s announcement follows a recent publication by PPI’s Energy and Climate Solutions Initiative that advocates for East Coast geothermal pilot plant construction. Enhanced geothermal systems (EGS) have the potential to provide consistent and plentiful renewable energy throughout much of the United States, and expanding geothermal’s footprint will accelerate the technology’s adoption and rollout. An East Coast geothermal program would prove especially beneficial for securing investments, collecting data, and counteracting public skepticism towards renewables, three of the largest hurdles inhibiting EGS adoption.”

“Moving forward, it is critical for the DOE to consider the implications of its site selection carefully. Although several regions in the Eastern U.S. are viable for geothermal, Appalachia would prove most beneficial for the initial development phase. West Virginia and Pennsylvania are among the most geologically feasible locations for geothermal, and they rely heavily on producing and generating energy for their workforces, exports, and economies. Furthermore, the energy future of these states is at risk due to the declining use of fossil fuels. Prioritizing West Virginia and Pennsylvania for geothermal pilot projects would provide an opportunity for local energy workers to transfer their skills toward clean energy and allow these states to maintain their status as energy exporters. PPI recommends that prospective developers and the state governments of Pennsylvania and West Virginia collaborate to secure a project in Appalachia and to remove any undue regulatory or permitting obstacles to this crucial resource.”

The Progressive Policy Institute (PPI) is a catalyst for policy innovation and political reform based in Washington, D.C. Its mission is to create radically pragmatic ideas for moving America beyond ideological and partisan deadlock. Learn more about PPI by visiting progressivepolicy.org.

Follow the Progressive Policy Institute.

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Media Contact: Ian O’Keefe – iokeefe@ppionline.org

Ryan for Ohio Capital Journal: To make progress on climate, Democrats must partner renewables with natural gas

By Tim Ryan

As a lifelong Democrat and a Co-Chair for Natural Allies for a Clean Energy Future, I am eager to quickly develop a secure and practical energy policy that drives down global carbon emissions. We owe it to our children and grandchildren. And we have a moral obligation to be stewards of God’s planet. To abate the worst impacts of climate change, the impartial data and real-world success stories show we must partner the carbon-free power generation of renewables with the affordability, reliability, and security of low-carbon natural gas.

Recent commentary and short sighted attacks about me in the Ohio Capital Journal reflect the simplicity of bumper sticker slogans, even though our national energy infrastructure is far more complex. Serious people need to understand that. Cutting back on natural gas exports abroad to allied economies that need it, and turning off natural gas here at home, would be bad politics, destructive economics, and atrocious climate policy.

Keep reading in the Ohio Capital Journal.

Enhanced Geothermal Systems: A Potential Renaissance for Appalachian Energy

Source: Teresa Jordan. https://gdr.openei.org/files/899/GPFA-AB_Final_Report_with_Supporting_Documents.pdf.

Next-generation geothermal technology shows promise as a clean and potentially abundant baseload power source with relatively limited environmental tradeoffs. One method, Enhanced Geothermal Systems (EGS), uses drilling technology developed for hydraulic fracturing to access ubiquitous heat sources deep below the surface. EGS has yet to become a major component of the U.S. grid and few plants have been built east of the Mississippi despite indications of feasibility. To solve two of the largest hurdles inhibiting the adoption of EGS (underinvestment and public skepticism toward renewables), the Progressive Policy Institute (PPI) urges the U.S. Department of Energy to provide funding for three EGS pilot plants in Pennsylvania and West Virginia, energy-exporting states that produce large quantities of fossil fuels and show high geothermal potential. This will demonstrate EGS’ widespread viability, bolster public and political support for the technology, and garner increased investment for accelerated rollout.

Legacy geothermal systems are costly and rely on existing underground water reservoirs as a heat source, which limits their viability to areas with preexisting geothermal activity and abundant water resources. In contrast, Enhanced Geothermal Systems do not require onsite water supply and can be sited in most areas with sufficient subsurface temperatures. By 2050, the U.S. will require 700-900 GW of additional clean firm energy capacity; EGS has the potential to fill 90 GW of this demand, providing enough power to supply more than 65 million homes. Unlike most renewables, EGS can supply consistent baseload power and heat, and requires a smaller ground footprint than wind and solar. Furthermore, it leverages many existing technologies such as subsurface drilling and hydraulic fracturing used in oil and gas extraction, facilitating rapid rollout and providing career transition prospects for fossil fuel workers. EGS has yet to be implemented at scale, but project costs, drill times, and permitting constraints have all fallen rapidly as interest and investments grow. The Department of Energy’s Pathways to Commercial Liftoff plan advocates for EGS pilot locations in different regions to prove its widespread adaptability; thus far, geothermal projects have mostly been limited to the Basin and Range region in the western U.S., where high subsurface temperatures abound. Nevertheless, DOE’s next pilot funding opportunity will be inclusive of proposals for East Coast sites.

Small EGS pilot projects have been constructed in Massachusetts and Maryland to provide heating and cooling; however, no energy-producing pilot plants have been constructed in the eastern U.S. Although the West contains the majority of viable geothermal sites, the DOE has identified West Virginia and Pennsylvania as highly feasible EGS locations. These states are also known for their outsized roles in producing fossil fuels and exporting energy. Coal remains a core resource in this region; nearly 90% of West Virginia’s electricity is generated using coal (compared to ~7% from renewables), and citizens pay hundreds of millions in subsidies to keep coal plants operational, even as relative costs balloon. Pennsylvania is the nation’s second-largest coal exporter, trailing only West Virginia; renewables produce only 4% of its electricity, excluding its four aging nuclear plants. As fossil fuels face more stringent legislative constraints, these states risk losing their status as energy exporters if they continue to rely on hydrocarbons.

West Virginia and Pennsylvania have something else in common: weak political support for traditional renewables and large energy workforces who remain skeptical of clean energy. From constraining federal clean energy programs to preventing the expansion of solar farms, West Virginia’s political leadership has repeatedly prioritized coal over clean energy. Although coal mining provides tens of thousands of jobs and billions of dollars in export revenue, continued dependence on coal is untenable. Coal’s declining appeal, along with cheaper natural gas and renewables, have diminished the industry’s workforce to its lowest size since 1890, and citizens now pay more for coal power than they would for other energy sources.

Pennsylvania is also no leader on clean energy; between 2013 and 2023, it ranked 49th in the nation in renewable energy growth, trailing behind only Alaska. This is due both to regulatory barriers and the abundant natural gas provided by the Marcellus Shale. New approaches are necessary to enhance the growth of renewables in these states, and the EGS rollout could provide a more politically palatable approach to clean energy.

The White House, along with the DOE, should provide funding from the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law (BIL) for three EGS pilot sites in West Virginia and Pennsylvania to be built by 2028. Considering the costs and pace of previous pilot plants, the depth of available thermal resources, and the foreseeable difficulties of EGS expansion in new regions, construction of the pilot plants should receive a budget of roughly $45-60 million. The BIL allocates funds for seven geothermal pilot plants; three pilot projects received such support after applying during the first round of proposals. The second round of prospective grants includes the possibility of Eastern EGS sites, and all efforts should be made to ensure that Appalachian sites are well-represented in the selected proposals. A multi-plant approach also reflects the DOD’s geothermal pilot program, which created sites at several bases in different states using contracts with three EGS companies. Creating multiple pilot plants proves feasibility in different geology and geography, reduces the likelihood of failure, and facilitates wider public and political engagement. Implementation should be coordinated with regional and local grid providers and energy agencies.

Source: NREL.  https://www.nrel.gov/gis/assets/images/geothermal-identified-hydrothermal-and-egs.jpg

Site selection should be based on several factors: high projected viability and low risk; proximity to existing electrical infrastructure; different geology and geography from existing EGS sites; and political viability. Three potential locations emerge as ideal candidates, given these considerations and in consultation with studies such as the DOE Liftoff plan and other feasibility research. One plant should be sited in northwest Pennsylvania, in order to prove viability in traditional natural gas country, utilize existing gas infrastructure, and facilitate outreach to the gas industry and workforce. Another should be located in northeast Pennsylvania, due to indicated geothermal potential, proximity to larger population centers, and to engage the area’s sizable energy workforce. The final plant should be constructed in northern West Virginia, which offers relatively abundant thermal resources, unique geology with limited natural gas reserves, a declining coal industry, and low support for traditional renewables. Selecting sites for test wells in the vicinity of recently closed coal plants would be ideal, given these locations’ existing transmission infrastructure, energy workforces, and political significance.

In tandem with pilot plant construction, 10-15% of the program’s budget should be allocated to public EGS education and to offer training for local fossil fuel workers. Pennsylvania already uses over 3% of its BIL funds for workforce development; this relatively larger budget to bolster the geothermal workforce reflects the lack of existing EGS plants in the region, as well as additional costs incurred through public education. These funds can be drawn from the initial pilot plant budget or through the $200 million provisioned in BIL for workforce development. This is a vital component of the process; without stakeholder engagement, especially to provide jobs and transparency and engagement for investors, pilot projects lose much of their value. For similar reasons, the program’s contracts and standards should be configured as models for future East Coast EGS projects and risk should be clearly allocated between involved parties.

To minimize negative public reactions towards geothermal, this process should also be intentionally apolitical; investment in renewables can often trigger backlash if it is clearly tied with political interests, especially in conservative states. EGS also has the potential to incur criticisms from environmental groups due to its use of fracking technology. Hopefully, growing support for EGS from mainstream environmental organizations such as the Sierra Club and NRDC will diminish this risk. The NRDC notes, “While this connection (to the oil and gas industry and fracking) may initially give some pause, it creates a fantastic opportunity to deploy an already-trained workforce into an industry that could help secure our zero-emission electricity future.” Given the correct outreach and education strategy that eschews political bias, this campaign can appeal to legacy fuel producers and environmental activists.

Constructing EGS plants in Appalachia, a conservative and renewable-skeptical region with abundant fossil fuels and unique geography, would indicate geothermal’s widespread feasibility. Furthermore, demonstrating the similarities in technology and workforce requirements between geothermal power and fossil fuel industries would engage skeptical audiences and garner broader support for geothermal. EGS plants can make use of the qualified local energy workforces, providing employment and easing implementation. Crucially, funding remains the largest remaining constraint for EGS; the DOE notes that the Eastern geothermal rollout “could have an outsized impact on investor confidence.” Although the declining price of geothermal energy promises to meet DOE’s targets, the U.S. has yet to realize the full geographic potential of EGS. With commercial liftoff planned for 2030, DOE can best position geothermal for success by expanding its reach. The creation of Appalachian EGS facilities could markedly accelerate geothermal’s upscaling, thereby reducing U.S. emissions and facilitating a timely transition to zero-carbon energy.

From Fire Lines to Front Lines: Addressing Overreliance on Military Forces for Wildland Firefighting

Washington, D.C. — Climate change, coupled with flawed historical forestry practices, has exacerbated the frequency and intensity of wildfires in the United States. Due to a shortage of dedicated firefighting resources, military units — including active-duty forces — are deployed to suppress wildland fires ever more often. Meanwhile, the U.S. armed forces’ extensive foreign commitments show no indication of abating, especially considering China’s burgeoning military strength and Russia’s continued aggression in Ukraine.

Today, the Progressive Policy Institute (PPI) released a new report titled, “Redefining the Military’s Role in Wildfire Suppression,” which makes the case for increased investments in civilian firefighting resources and new modern forestry and fire reduction techniques in an effort to reduce reliance on the U.S. military. While military forces have served an indispensable role in U.S. fire suppression, creating new fire management plans and reinforcing nonmilitary firefighting assets will help bolster the nation’s ability to respond to intensifying wildfires while leaving the armed forces with leeway to address their primary commitments.

“The increasing demand for the military to engage in wildfire suppression threatens to undermine global force posture in a climate of growing instability and multipolarity,” said Alec Evans, Energy Policy Fellow at PPI. “It is critical for the U.S. to enhance its dedicated wildland firefighting resources in order to safeguard its military strength, especially as U.S. wildfires continue to intensify and the prospect of great power competition returns to prominence.”

The report evaluates the military’s role in wildfire suppression and examines the legal and command framework behind military wildland firefighting assignments, offering policy recommendations to prepare the U.S. military and civilian agencies for the growth of future fire seasons. As climate change increases the threat posed by wildfires and the armed forces become further engaged in great power competition, the United States must implement proactive reforms now to prevent greater future climate catastrophes.

Read and download the report here.

The Progressive Policy Institute (PPI) is a catalyst for policy innovation and political reform based in Washington, D.C. Its mission is to create radically pragmatic ideas for moving America beyond ideological and partisan deadlock. Learn more about PPI by visiting progressivepolicy.orgFind an expert at PPI and follow us on Twitter.

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Media Contact: Tommy Kaelin – tkaelin@ppionline.org

Redefining the Military’s Role in Wildfire Suppression

Executive Summary

Wildfires are becoming more widespread, frequent, and destructive due to climate change and historical malpractices in forest management. As civil agencies become overwhelmed, U.S. firefighting efforts have become more dependent on military resources. Between 2017 and 2021, the National Guard’s man-hours spent fighting wildfires grew more than tenfold; wildfire costs ballooned to almost $82 billion over the same period.

The armed forces field unique capabilities that can benefit firefighting efforts, particularly the ability to rapidly deploy large forces to remote locations. However, overrelying on the military to combat wildfires could impair its capacity to ensure U.S. national security. If the current model of double-tasking military units persists, the country would be unable to mount an adequate response if faced with both a high-intensity conflict and a severe wildfire season. Therefore, given the armed forces’ increasing commitments abroad and the expanding threat of wildfires to the homeland, other government agencies and private contractors should shoulder the growing burden of fire suppression and implement more efficient fire practices so that military units can remain dedicated to their core missions.

Read the full report.

Federal Regulators Get Serious About Regional Transmission Planning With New FERC Orders

The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) recently finalized two rules for the country’s electricity grids that represent the most significant paradigm shift towards expansion in over a decade. Marking a renewed focus on long-neglected transmission policy, the rules fundamentally alter and begin to standardize the thicket of existing approaches to regional transmission planning by codifying principles of longevity, transparency, and engagement. FERC, the independent agency responsible for regulating interstate energy transmission and wholesale electricity markets, issued Orders 1920 and 1977 at a time of growing policymaker and consumer concern over the state of U.S. electricity infrastructure, which is managing a complex transition through the rise of more frequent extreme weather events, a shifting generation mix, and growing demand from end-use electrification, new manufacturing facilities, and data centers. Although more will be needed on the legislative front — particularly on permitting reform, something PPI has adamantly pushed for — FERC has made commendable progress on the planning side of transmission with these new rules.

The orders underscore the need for increased transmission capacity in our nation’s grid. As demand for electricity balloons, there is growing concern that the country’s transmission networks are hard-pressed to meet household and industry needs, and woefully underdeveloped to reach Biden’s electrification and clean generation goals in the next decade. Growing investment in clean energy generation across the United States faces a bottlenecked grid system caused in no small part by a convoluted set of planning processes. More broadly, the regulatory regime governing the electricity sector comprises an antiquated patchwork of utilities, commissions, and state and federal agencies, ill-suited to accommodate the rapid integration of new technologies or a coordinated, long-term approach to transmission planning.

The rules attempt to address these concerns by providing frameworks for a more collaborative and transparent regional approach to planning that encourages forward thinking and clears unnecessary siting holdups. Order 1920, which was approved 2-1 on a partisan basis with Democrat-appointed commissioners in the majority, contains a number of planning requirements, notably for transmission operators to produce scenario-based regional transmission plans with outlooks of at least 20 years, and to conduct this planning every five years using the best available data. The order also requires that operators determine how projects might achieve seven outlined economic and reliability benefits in the evaluation and selection of long-term regional transmission facilities, further ensuring that long-term transmission needs are considered and addressed cost-effectively. To encourage innovative approaches to transmission planning, Order 1920 obliges operators to consider grid-enhancing technologies (GETs) such as dynamic line ratings and advanced conductors, though without directly mandating their use — likely to avoid overreach, constitutional challenge, and to ensure these technologies are only deployed where doing so has explicit operational and financial advantages.

Another significant new policy included in the order is a requirement to identify opportunities for in-kind replacements of existing facilities to be “right-sized” and thus increase their capacity in a cost-effective manner. Incumbent utilities will be offered federal rights of first refusal (ROFRs) to develop these “right-sized” facilities to avoid the construction of redundant transmission projects. The cost allocation provisions of Order 1920 mandate six-month engagement periods with predefined Relevant State Entities along with plans for a default cost allocation method for selected long-term transmission facilities. They also encourage loosely defined state agreements between providers and Relevant State Entities for selected participants to determine how project costs will be shared among stakeholders. These provisions, in tandem with a mandated process inviting states and consumers to fund some or all of facilities that would otherwise not meet operators’ selection criteria, enable consumers to only pay for projects that benefit them and highlight a renewed emphasis on transparency and state involvement in transmission planning.

Order 1977, which was approved with unanimous consent, complements the new planning framework by adding a backstop measure to prevent proposed projects from fading into obscurity when states fail to act. Specifically, it establishes a process for FERC to exercise its limited authority over siting transmission lines in accordance with amendments to Sec. 216 of the Federal Power Act enacted via the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law. The amendments clarified FERC’s authority to issue permits when state commissions have (i) not made siting determinations by one year following application submission or National Corridor designation, (ii) conditioned approval such that projects are no longer feasible or inadequately reduce capacity constraints, or (iii) denied an application. While affirming states’ primary role in the siting of transmission lines, the rule promotes timely review of siting applications and leaves room for FERC to preclude individual states from inhibiting projects that would be beneficial at the regional or national level.

The rule also introduces a Landowner Bill of Rights which ensures that landowners are notified of potential transmission line projects and permitted to intervene in open Commission proceedings, and codifies an Applicant Code of Conduct to facilitate good-faith engagement between applicants and landowners during the permitting process. To drive home the engagement imperative, transmission line applicants are further required to conduct outreach to environmental justice and Tribal communities. Mandated Environmental Justice Public Engagement Plans will be used to create Environmental Justice Resource Reports to identify impacted communities and detail the effects of projects, and similarly, Tribal Engagement Plans will feed into Tribal Engagement Resource Reports for the same purpose. These stakeholder engagement requirements will hopefully break the cycle of inadequate notification and litigation by residents and quicken project approval through a more proactive and transparent input process. But they must take into account a project’s broader dispersed benefits and avoid granting landowners and local communities an undue veto when entire regions stand to gain.

Taken together, the new rules lay down a much-needed groundwork for the future of transmission in the United States. They provide for a set of processes that bring together state, federal, and private entities to assess and develop long-term transmission projects to meet the needs of Americans in a more holistic and cost-sensitive way. Yet to a certain extent, these changes seem so obvious that many Americans might be surprised that such planning practices were not already in place. In reality, they represent only a fraction of the reforms needed to boost transmission development to the pace needed in order to restore reliability, meet growing demand, and enable the clean energy transition. These new planning mechanisms for enhanced project longevity and regional engagement are crucial in their own right, but as FERC Commissioner Allison Clements notes, more is needed than just the “raw ingredients” for states and transmission providers to build out the grid at a scale consistent with demand.

To keep this momentum, Congress needs to step in. There have been promising attempts at using legislation to speed up the environmental review and permitting process, but outside of the small changes included in the Fiscal Responsibility Act, Congress has not yet been able to hammer out an agreement on comprehensive permitting reform. With existing proposals such as the 2022 Manchin-Schumer deal and a range of transmission-specific bills including the SITE Act, FASTER Act, and SPEED and Reliability Act, there is ample opportunity to do so. And despite recent disagreements over a comprehensive permitting deal, the issue itself remains a bipartisan concern.

Without comprehensive permitting reform and steps to improve interregional planning on top of these regional transmission changes, these new FERC rules alone will not solve the transmission gridlock. Facilities connecting transmission regions are the most difficult type to plan, pay for, and permit under the current regime, despite their crucial role in limiting the impact of local extreme weather events and serving as the most important type of transmission line for connecting remote wind and solar resources to large cities and manufacturing hubs. Further executive and legislative action will be necessary to expedite energy projects like these, and while FERC has undoubtedly taken important steps toward optimizing the U.S. transmission infrastructure, building out a sufficient network will take leaps and bounds.

East Asian Energy Security and Biden’s LNG Pause

INTRODUCTION

In 2016, the U.S. began exporting liquefied natural gas. Only eight years later, it has become the world’s largest exporter of LNG, shipping 86 million tons internationally in 2023. The growth of U.S. gas production facilitated the retirement of coal plants domestically, bolstered U.S. exports, offered a powerful foreign policy lever, and offered employment to more than 4 million Americans. Furthermore, it allowed the U.S. to fill energy shortfalls in Europe following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, which compelled European nations to reduce their usage of Russian hydrocarbons and caused Moscow to shut down Nord Stream 1 (which was then destroyed in suspected sabotage). As a result, Europe required new sources of natural gas, and the United States was perfectly positioned to mitigate these shortages. From 2021 to 2022, U.S. LNG exports to Europe increased a remarkable 119%. However, this came at the cost of U.S. LNG exports to Asia, which fell by nearly 50%.

Asia is the largest importer of liquefied natural gas and leads the world in primary energy consumption. In 2022, the top three importers of LNG were comprised of two key allies and Washington’s chief international competitor: Japan, South Korea, and the world’s largest GHG emitter, China. All three of these countries consume vast amounts of energy and are highly reliant on fossil fuel energy imports. Although a growing capacity exists to fill these needs with renewable energy, such resources are currently unable to fully meet the requirements for balanced electricity grids and industrial applications. The U.S. is not the primary energy supplier in Asia, but U.S. LNG supply plays a critical role in reducing these nations’ emissions, as U.S. natural gas emits less greenhouse gas than coal, oil, and most other natural gas supply chains. In addition, U.S. natural gas provides energy security to allies, such as Japan and South Korea, in case of disruption or conflict. Ensuring access to sufficient supplies of low-emissions natural gas, accompanied by other innovative, low-carbon, and exportable energy technologies, is vital to American interests. Therefore, the uncertainty created by the Biden administration’s LNG pause risks reducing energy security for U.S. allies in East Asia, weakening Washington’s national security, and exacerbating global climate change.

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The Cautionary Tale of ESG Oversight: Arkansas Should Heed Texas’ $886 Million Cost for Prioritizing Politics

With the creation of a new ESG Oversight Committee, Arkansas has made a substantial shift in the state’s changing investment and sustainability landscape. The committee was fully formed last month when Governor Sarah Huckabee Sanders appointed Tom Lundstrom as the committee’s fifth and final member. This committee is charged with identifying financial service providers who are thought to discriminate against certain traditional value industries (fossil fuels, ammunition, etc.) based on ESG-related considerations under last year’s House Bill 1307, which is now Act 411.

The committee’s judgments will have a significant impact on Arkansas’s investment climate and economy as it advances, with noteworthy deadlines for delivering its preliminary and final lists of these financial providers. The recently released report, “The Potential Economic and Tax Revenue Impact of Texas’ Fair Access Laws”, conducted by the Texas Association of Business Chambers of Commerce Fund (TABCCF), is an important source the Arkansas committee should review in order to understand the possible harm that comparable anti-ESG legislation has caused states who have chosen to inject politics into their decision making.

According to the TABCCF study, during 2022-2023, the Texas anti-ESG legislation resulted in an estimated:

 

  • $668.7 million lost in economic activity.
  • $180.7 million in decreased annual earnings.
  • 3,034 fewer full-time, permanent jobs.
  • $37.1  million in losses to State and local tax revenue.

 

The study asserts: “These findings illustrate that when government attempts to mandate values, no matter what kind to businesses, the market loses.”

The report is built on earlier work included in a 2023 study titled “Gas, Guns, and Governments: Financial Costs of Anti-ESG Policies,” by Drs. Ivan Ivanov of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago and Dan Garrett of the University of Pennsylvania. The study looked at certain organizations that were thought to be boycotting due to their affiliations or fiduciary decisions that have been expelled or removed from the municipal bond market.

Their resulting analysis: this legislation did, in fact, limit competition in the public finance sector, raising interest rates by 0.144 percent.

Thanks to its pro-business environment, Texas now has the eighth-largest economy in the world. Less competition in the municipal bond market, however, is driving up interest rates, which puts more strain on local governments’ finances and adds to the costs borne by Texas taxpayers.

If that wasn’t enough, the underlying political effects of these politically driven policies continue to rear their head. Just this week, Aaron Kinsey, the Chair of the Texas State Board of Education (SBOE) announced the Texas Permanent School Fund Corporation divest approximately $8.5 billion of assets BlackRock currently manages for them – a move that will undoubtedly further increase costs while reducing returns for Texas schools.

This action, which allegedly came without a formal board vote, quickly upset Kinsey’s fellow SBOE board members. “We just can’t divest from them overnight. They’re very good moneymakers for us,” Republican SBOE board member Pat Hardy said of BlackRock, concluding, “They’ve been really good. They’ve been one of our main investment people for, gosh, 15 years.”

Given this context, Arkansas is presented with a cautionary tale that highlights the necessity for thoughtful assessment to prevent deterring business investments in the state and jeopardizing fund performance for political theater.

The position taken on this matter by the Arkansas Teachers Retirement System (ATRS) highlights the financial implications and practical difficulties associated with enacting a narrow boycott list. ATRS has emphasized that three BlackRock-managed funds, which have over $1.2 billion invested in them, do not exhibit bias against the energy, fossil fuel, weapons, or ammunition businesses. This disclosure is crucial because it demonstrates the system’s all-encompassing approach to guarantee that its investment managers respect Arkansas’s ESG standards while also being in line with the members’ financial interests.

Given the possibility of major financial ramifications, the Arkansas ESG Oversight Committee’s next judgments should be approached with prudence. The ATRS warning highlights the conflict between political goals and practical economic considerations on the potential costs of divesting from financial services companies—should they end up on the boycott list. Divestment of this kind might cost retired teachers in Arkansas alone at least $6 million.

The larger lesson is evident as Arkansas proceeds: establishing an ESG-related boycott list in a transition economy has complicated ramifications for retirees and private investors alike, in addition to the state’s budget and broader economy. The combination of ATRS’s proactive actions and Texas’ experience serves as a crucial reminder of the necessity for a nuanced, balanced approach that protects the interests of all parties involved. It will take careful thought and, most importantly, a clear understanding of the lessons gained from other jurisdictions to ensure that Arkansas maintains its inviting status for businesses.

PPI Statement on DOE’s Progress to Create a Framework For Measuring Emissions of Oil and Gas Supply Chains

Washington, D.C. – Today, Elan Sykes, the Director of Energy and Climate Policy at the Progressive Policy Institute (PPI), released the following statement in response to the Department of Energy Office of Fossil Energy and Carbon Management update on the development of a framework to measure emissions for domestic oil and gas that would cover Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) exports.

“The Progressive Policy Institute applauds the Department of Energy’s (DOE) Office of Fossil Energy and Carbon Management for the progress made on developing a framework for the Measurement, Monitoring, Reporting, and Verification (MMRV) of oil and gas supply chain emissions.

“Since President Biden announced a pause to LNG export terminal expansion, PPI has been outspoken against the pause and advocated that DOE quickly create an environmental public interest test for LNG exports that is meaningful, workable, and transparent. Building this framework for domestic oil and gas supply chains is a crucial effort needed to develop accurate and comparable data across the U.S. industry. The framework would also allow for the adoption of a practical and clear environmental standard without excluding consideration of other economic or national security interests as required under the Natural Gas Act.

“While this announcement is a step in the right direction, the Biden administration should adopt an MMRV standard and immediately lift the pause on LNG export expansion, which poses major risks both domestically and internationally. President Biden has made tremendous progress in America’s clean energy transition and should instead build on this success by focusing on emissions reductions at home and abroad through faster domestic permitting, deployment of clean energy, and continued innovation to bring down the cost of low-carbon technologies for the world.”

PPI’s Energy and Climate Solutions Initiative has long been focused on the impact of U.S. LNG exports both domestically and internationally. In December, PPI released a report outlining the importance of U.S. LNG exports to Europe during the second winter of Russia’s war with Ukraine. In February, PPI released a memo to the White House outlining a productive and pragmatic approach to building a methane MMRV framework. PPI’s senior advisor, Tim Ryan, released an op-ed in the Wall Street Journal highlighting how the ban is bad politics for Democrats ahead of an election year.

Additionally, PPI has been actively engaged in policymaking discussions around the climate and energy security interests involved in the LNG exports pause, including briefings with the New Democrat Coalition and the bipartisan Climate Solutions Caucus.

The Progressive Policy Institute (PPI) is a catalyst for policy innovation and political reform based in Washington, D.C. Its mission is to create radically pragmatic ideas for moving America beyond ideological and partisan deadlock. Learn more about PPI by visiting progressivepolicy.orgFind an expert at PPI and follow us on Twitter.

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Media Contact: Amelia Fox, afox@ppionline.org

Ryan for The Wall Street Journal: LNG Export Ban Is Atrocious Politics

By Tim Ryan

Many climate activists are celebrating the Biden administration’s decision to curtail exports of liquefied natural gas. The policy, however, is a political misstep and not only for the reasons most critics give. For a moment, set aside the national-security implications—that limiting American exports will punish our allies around the world—and the concern that this decision may spur European and Asian countries to burn more coal. By picking at a cultural scab some of us in the Democratic Party have worked to heal, the policy also risks alienating key voting blocs from Joe Biden’s campaign and climate policy writ large.

This is a political challenge I know personally. When I used to make my weekly journey from Youngstown, Ohio, to Pittsburgh on my way to Washington, I passed an enormous “cracker plant” being constructed off the expressway—a facility that processed ethane and other components of the natural gas being extracted from Appalachian shale formations. As a Democratic congressman, I looked on with hope and pride: Our region was creating well-paying union jobs in an industry that was fighting climate change by retiring coal in favor of cleaner gas.

What those celebrating the LNG export pause don’t understand is that the people working in that cracker plant, as well as the voters who thrived in the fracking boom, aren’t all climate-change deniers, which I discovered through conversations with constituents. Though they once resisted the idea that the climate is changing, many told me that they now believe in climate change and agree that extractive and energy-producing industries do need to change and become cleaner. The employees at that cracker plant rightly saw their work as their contribution to progress. The natural gas they were pulling out of the ground was supposed to replace dirty coal and nurture clean-energy businesses in the region. They had gone from being labeled as part of the problem to part of the solution—and they were proud.

Keep reading in The Wall Street Journal.

Navigating the Winds of Change: Asset Managers’ Strategic Shifts in Climate Initiatives

The finance industry has, until recently, taken a collective approach to climate change, showing a united front in addressing one of the great challenges of our time. But that groupthink approach is evolving, as seen by recent third-party engagement modifications made by top asset managers such as BlackRock, JPMorgan Asset Management, and State Street Global Advisors. These coalition changes, especially in how they interact with Climate Action 100+, a climate-focused, investor-led program that was introduced in 2017 that recently announced an evolution in focus known as “phase 2,” (described by the organization as “markedly shifting the focus from corporate climate-related disclosure to the implementation of climate transition plans”), indicate a subtle recalibration as opposed to a retreat from environmental commitments.

The decision of State Street and JPMorgan to reallocate resources elsewhere, together with BlackRock’s decision to transfer its involvement to its overseas arm, demonstrate the difficult balancing act these multinational behemoths face.  They find themselves at a crossroads where they must continue to carry out their fiduciary responsibilities in the face of shifting market and regulatory environments while attempting to pilot the maiden voyage toward environmental sustainability. This shift demonstrates a wider trend in the financial sector: the path to a low-carbon, sustainable future is complex and calls for a flexible multimodal strategy that respects global decarbonization targets while navigating a patchwork of regulatory frameworks and client preferences.

In its announcement, BlackRock previewed the launch of a new stewardship option that will provide clients additional decarbonization engagement and proxy voting options. Furthermore, the introduction of programs such as Decarbonization Partners by Temasek and BlackRock highlights a consistent commitment to creative solutions to climate-related problems. This pledge to make strategic investments in next-generation businesses that are necessary to achieve a net-zero global economy by 2050 is an example of how the investment landscape is changing in terms of how it approaches climate action, and- to be blunt- a more efficient use of institutional resources and expertise being applied to climate efforts. (and yes, potentially profitable.)

The shift towards proactive participation is also shown by JPMorgan Chase’s Center for Carbon Transition (CCT), which offers bespoke assistance and in-house expertise to worldwide clients as they navigate the low-carbon transition. This project, which aims to match the company’s finance portfolio with the goal of net-zero emissions by 2050, demonstrates an understanding and actionable willingness to address the challenges associated with making the transition to a sustainable energy future.

State Street Global Advisors has demonstrated its active involvement in influencing policy directions that promote sustainable investment practices by continuing to invest in research and content platforms to interact with policymakers on decarbonization and the clean energy transition. This proactive approach to innovation and policy formation shows a dedication to the ultimate objective of realizing a path to a low-carbon economy.

These calculated realignments show the extent to which the financial industry understands the challenges and opportunities associated with the shift to more sustainable energy sources. (It is also a tacit acknowledgement that a “one size fits all” approach itself, isn’t sustainable.)  Rather than indicating a turnback, these organizations are improving their tactics to more effectively advance the decarbonization of the world economy. This sophisticated approach highlights the value of flexibility, client autonomy, and active participation in the dynamic field of climate action.

Ultimately, these tactical changes, however, continue to underscore a collective, if changing, commitment to helping the global energy transformation as the financial world continues to work through the great unknown of the energy transition. This journey, characterized by thoughtful analysis, demonstrates the industry’s willingness to make the tough decisions posed by a sustainable, environmentally conscious future.

PPI Proposes Path Forward on White House LNG Export Pause

Washington, D.C. — The Biden administration’s recent decision to pause expansion of LNG export terminals has created uncertainty among producers and consumers of U.S. natural gas, including America’s allies abroad. Today, the Progressive Policy Institute (PPI) released a memo to the White House proposing a way forward: Lifting the pause for companies that submit to third-party measurement and certification of their methane emissions.

PPI proposes that the Department of Energy (DOE) act swiftly to design an environmental public interest test for LNG exports that is meaningful, workable, and transparent. Such a test could be built around a third-party verification of methane performance for the entire supply chain. Current certification standards cover roughly one third of U.S. gas production, and ensuring a high environmental standard across exports would benefit both the environment and U.S. companies, especially at a time when major trading partners are implementing similar requirements.

“The indefinite LNG permit pause has created significant uncertainty that risks the economic, national security, and coal-displacement benefits of U.S. LNG exports,” said Elan Sykes, Director of Energy and Climate Policy at PPI. “Paired with key mitigation provisions from the Inflation Reduction Act, methane certification would meet the administration’s climate aims and reassure U.S. allies and trading partners who increasingly depend on a reliable supply of low-methane gas.

U.S. LNG exports play an essential role in meeting global energy demand, especially after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. PPI’s proposal aims to achieve net emissions reductions on a global scale, vital to combating climate change, without disrupting the LNG industry in the U.S. This industry has grown to play a sizable role in the U.S. economy, with jobs that pay well above the national average and $47.4 billion in exports in 2022 driving the energy sector to a record-high 18% share of overall U.S. goods exported that year.

The Biden Administration has made tremendous progress in America’s clean energy transition, especially through the Inflation Reduction Act, Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, and the CHIPS Act. The Administration can continue to build on this success by focusing on emissions reductions at home and abroad through faster domestic permitting, deployment of clean energy, and continued innovation to bring down the cost of low-carbon technologies for the world.

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Media Contact: Amelia Fox – afox@ppionline.org